Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	UD San Pedro		Atlético Porcuna

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.8	3.25	3.45
	1.86	3.56	3.74
	1.85	3.3	3.75
	1.81	3.44	3.88
	1.78	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.83)	3.41 ↓ (3.55)	3.72 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

UD San Pedro
49.4%

Draw
26.4%

Atlético Porcuna
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.7%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.9%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Pedro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Atlético Porcuna have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Pedro than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

UD San Pedro - Atlético Porcuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, Almagro D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).

San Pedro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Porcuna's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

San Pedro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Pedro is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Pedro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, San Pedro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Pedro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
06.12.25	Torre Del Mar - UD San Pedro	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	UD San Pedro - El Palo	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Motril - UD San Pedro	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Alhaurino - UD San Pedro	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	UD San Pedro - Torredonjimeno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LWTWW
- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
07.12.25	Atlético Porcuna - Alhaurino	3:4 ✺
23.11.25	Torredonjimeno - Atlético Porcuna	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Porcuna - Granada B	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Huétor Vega - Atlético Porcuna	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Tájar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
26.01.22	Atlético Porcuna - UD San Pedro	2:0
19.09.21	UD San Pedro - Atlético Porcuna	2:0

UD San Pedro - Atlético Porcuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide