Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 28Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday
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UD San Pedro |
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Motril |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.5 |
3.05 |
1.98 |
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 |
3.79 |
3.05 |
2.04 |
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3.39 |
3.25 |
2.09 |
 Watch |
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3.5 |
3 |
2 |
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4.02 |
2.99 |
1.93 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↓
(4.37) |
3.07 ↓
(3.4) |
2.01 ↑
(1.73) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
UD San Pedro
25% | Draw
29.7% | Motril
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD San Pedro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Motril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Motril might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Pedro than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motril could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.UD San Pedro - Motril Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Andrew ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 73', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 85', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).San Pedro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Motril is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). In this match, Motril is seen as the favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Pedro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).Including home match between the teams, San Pedro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
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| 7 | UD San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 | | | 16.11.25 | Motril - UD San Pedro | 3:3 | | 24.04.22 | Motril - UD San Pedro | 4:0 | | 19.12.21 | UD San Pedro - Motril | 0:1 | | 01.11.18 | Motril - UD San Pedro | 1:3 |
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