The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UMECIT 40.6%
Draw 28.9%
Atlético Nacional 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
27.5%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
26.5%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UMECIT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UMECIT's form might have worsened.
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UMECIT, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
UMECIT - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Dimas E. (G) 4. Delgado J. 22. Palmezano A. 26. Araya J. 44. Bulgin B. 7. Gonzalez J. 8. Cunningham S. 10. Avila R. 16. Rodriguez J. (C) 17. Peralta H. 99. Japa E.
1. Almengor D. (G) 2. Ortega A. 19. P. Perez (C) 20. Barrera J. 5. Vega M. 21. de Jesus Menchaca Alarcon Y. 27. Barria J. 53. Diaz S. 12. Moreno S. 17. Corpas A. 22. Diaz S.
Substitutes
13. Candelo K. 47. Castillo A. 90. Catuy J. 5. Edghill V. 6. Fuentes J. 45. Leal D. 3. Medina V. 1. Perez M. (G) 35. Rodriguez E. 19. Saldana A.
24. Aguilar A. 8. De Gracia R. 9. Henriquez M. 3. Moreno G. 4. Pinzon J. 11. Rivera J. 15. Rodriguez C. 50. Rodriguez L. (G) 23. Valencia A. 14. Velasquez C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', P. Perez 🟨,
26', Peralta H. 🟨,
40', Delgado J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Cunningham S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Araya J. 🟨,
59', Corpas A. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
59', Ortega A. ↓, Velasquez C. ↑,
59', P. Perez ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
64', Vega M. 🟨,
69', Rodriguez J. ↓, Catuy J. ↑,
69', Japa E. ↓, Saldana A. ↑,
72', Vega M. 🟨,
78', Moreno S. ↓, Aguilar A. ↑,
80', Palmezano A. 🟨,
86', Barrera J. ↓, Henriquez M. ↑,
90+1', Gonzalez J. ↓, Edghill V. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In recent matches, UMECIT has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlético Nacional is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.