Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya (San Miguelito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	UMECIT		Plaza Amador

	1	X	2
	3.05	3	2.22
	3.31	3.04	2.3
	3.76	2.61	2.35	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.2
	3.11	3.14	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.35)	2.92 ↓ (3.02)	2.25 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UMECIT
28%

Draw
31.3%

Plaza Amador
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.1%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UMECIT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UMECIT's form might have worsened.

Plaza Amador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plaza Amador's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UMECIT, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plaza Amador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UMECIT - Plaza Amador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Almengor D. (G) 21. Almanza O. 26. Araya J. 29. Beccera O. 62. Casazola M. 23. Chanis E. 5. Edghill V. 27. Garcia A. 10. Gomez E. 11. Rodriguez E. 19. Saldana A.	1. Castaneda S. (G) 3. Cordoba O. 31. Davis E. 9. Gondola F. 14. Knight A. 21. Murillo D. 20. Murillo J. 19. Quintero A. 4. Sanchez J. 43. Taivez J. 22. Walters K.
Substitutes
8. Batista R. 80. Delgado G. 3. Delgado J. 17. Edwards A. 6. Fuentes J. 30. Hinojosa C. (G) 15. Livingston J. 48. Moran C. 9. Murillo J.	23. Allen M. (G) 10. Buitrago R. . Cagua G. 5. Cordoba F. 6. Lara J. 8. Lopez O. 15. Murillo Y. 48. Pacheco J. 27. Rios H. 16. Yearwood R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 1 - 0, Beccera O. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Murillo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Murillo J. 🟨,
58', Cordoba O. ↓, Pacheco J. ↑,
58', Sanchez J. ↓, Yearwood R. ↑,
65', Gomez E. ↓, Ford R. ↑,
65', Beccera O. ↓, Batista R. ↑,
68', Gondola F. ↓, Rios H. ↑,
68', Murillo J. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Rodriguez E. ⚽,
76', Edghill V. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Murillo D. ⚽,
86', Saldana A. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UMECIT won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

UMECIT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, UMECIT has had a series of away games.

Plaza Amador could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, UMECIT won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, UMECIT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMECIT FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
06.05.26	Union Cocle - UMECIT	1:2 penalties ✺
02.05.26	UMECIT - Tauro	5:2 ✺
25.04.26	Plaza Amador - UMECIT	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Árabe Unido - UMECIT	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Sporting San Miguelito - UMECIT	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWTTT
- CD Plaza Amador
Liga Panamena de Futbol
02.05.26	Árabe Unido - Plaza Amador	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Plaza Amador - UMECIT	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Plaza Amador	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Plaza Amador - Alianza Panama	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Tauro - Plaza Amador	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
25.04.26	Plaza Amador - UMECIT	2:2
26.01.26	UMECIT - Plaza Amador	1:0
01.11.25	Plaza Amador - UMECIT	1:0
04.08.25	UMECIT - Plaza Amador	0:2
15.03.25	Plaza Amador - UMECIT	1:1
21.09.24	UMECIT - Plaza Amador	0:1
24.03.24	Plaza Amador - UMECIT	3:1

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