Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Los Andes II (San Miguelito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Sporting San Miguelito		UMECIT

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.98	3	Watch
	2.34	2.92	3.25
	2.3	3.14	3.16	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.3	3.06	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.42)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	3.15 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting San Miguelito
40%

Draw
30.9%

UMECIT
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

31.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

32%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting San Miguelito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

UMECIT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Sporting San Miguelito - UMECIT Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera K. (G) 29. Alba O. 19. Avila M. 2. Caicedo J. 50. Camargo D. 53. Castillo A. 31. Cummings H. 99. Herrera G. 23. Hurtado H. 22. Ramirez S. 27. Tello Valor R. (C)	1. Almengor D. (G) 26. Araya J. 62. Casazola M. 23. Chanis E. 17. Edwards A. 14. Ford R. 6. Fuentes J. 22. Palmezano A. 19. Saldana A. 47. Valderrama B. 78. Vasquez J.
Substitutes
7. Asprilla J. 20. Bethancourt A. 26. Calderon J. (G) 49. Cordoba A. 9. de Leon R. 21. Hoyos D. 25. Munoz J. 83. Richards M. 8. Ruiz M.	29. Beccera O. 80. Delgado G. 3. Delgado J. 5. Edghill V. 27. Garcia A. 10. Gomez E. 30. Hinojosa C. (G) 9. Murillo J. 7. Peralta H. 11. Rodriguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Tello Valor R. ⚽,
14', Avila M. ↓, Cedeno D. ↑,
18', Edwards A. 🟨,
34', Tello Valor R. 🟨,
45+4', Alba O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Castillo A. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
48', Chanis E. 🟨,
58', Saldana A. 🟨,
59', 🟨,
59', Edwards A. ↓, Beccera O. ↑,
59', Vasquez J. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
59', Valderrama B. ↓, Peralta H. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Caicedo J. ⚽,
65', Saldana A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Peralta H. ⚽,
69', Camargo D. ↓, Richards M. ↑,
72', Fuentes J. ↓, Edghill V. ↑,
82', Herrera G. ↓, de Leon R. ↑,
82', Cedeno D. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
84', Peralta H. 🟨,
86', Richards M. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Beccera O. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,
90+8', 🟥,
90+9', 🟨,
90+9', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Miguelito won 0.

Recent form of San Miguelito has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UMECIT is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Miguelito won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, San Miguelito won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting San Miguelito - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.29%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting San Miguelito
Liga Panamena de Futbol
05.04.26	Árabe Unido - Sporting San Miguelito	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Sporting San Miguelito - San Francisco	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Veraguas	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Herrera - Sporting San Miguelito	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Union Cocle - Sporting San Miguelito	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTW
- UMECIT FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
04.04.26	UMECIT - Alianza Panama	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Veraguas - UMECIT	1:4 ✺
23.03.26	UMECIT - Herrera	1:0 ✺
16.03.26	UMECIT - Union Cocle	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - UMECIT	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
07.02.26	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	2:2
13.10.25	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	3:3
21.07.25	Sporting San Miguelito - UMECIT	0:1
30.03.25	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	0:0
24.08.24	Sporting San Miguelito - UMECIT	1:1
24.02.24	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	1:0
03.09.23	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	0:1

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