The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting San Miguelito 35.3%
Draw 29.1%
Tauro 35.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.6%
28.4%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
30.6%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting San Miguelito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Tauro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting San Miguelito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauro than the current prediction. (-4%)
Sporting San Miguelito - Tauro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. De Leon M. (G) 25. Munoz J. 31. Alba O. 14. Hall J. 69. Dominguez S. 27. Tello Valor R. 20. Bethancourt A. 6. Heraldez L. (C) 23. Hurtado H. 29. Castillo J. 11. Zuniga L.
12. Guerra J. (C) 2. Asprilla L. 3. Gondola E. 40. Quiroz G. 5. Quintero K. 6. Bernal K. 22. Hernandez I. 51. Insturain J. 10. Quintero C. 23. Penalba J. 18. Barria J.
Substitutes
5. Arizala E. 19. Avila M. 13. Azcarate M. 55. Benitez R. 26. Brown E. (G) 2. Caicedo J. 53. Castillo A. 8. Cordoba A. 24. Hormechea C. 9. Zorrilla E.
17. Cabrera W. 4. Diaz A. 15. Figueroa J. 19. Hurtado K. 29. Munoz J. 20. Perez B. 7. Pinzon D. 52. Prado M. 1. Vargas J. (G) 41. Williams R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Hurtado H. 🟨,
42', Alba O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hurtado H. ↓, Benitez R. ↑,
46', Alba O. ↓, Hormechea C. ↑,
57', Hall J. 🟨,
62', Gondola E. 🟨,
62', Castillo J. ↓, Avila M. ↑,
62', Barria J. ↓, Pinzon D. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Penalba J. ⚽,
76', Zuniga L. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
76', Insturain J. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
76', Quintero C. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
79', Tello Valor R. 🟨,
87', Asprilla L. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
87', Quiroz G. ↓, Prado M. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Penalba J. ⚽,
90+3', Bernal K. 🟨,
Preview
Postponed due to natural disaster.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Miguelito won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
San Miguelito may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, San Miguelito has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:18 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Miguelito against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 14:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting San Miguelito - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.59%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Tauro - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.01%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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De Leon M. (G) 
Quiroz G. 
Arizala E. 
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