Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Rommel Fernandez (Panama City) 🌤️ ...


	Alianza Panama		Sporting San Miguelito

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.90	2.55
	2.43	3.10	2.60
	2.67	3.02	2.83
	2.66	2.97	2.8	Watch
	2.60	2.85	2.75
	2.34	3.34	2.92
	2.60	2.80	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.43)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.74 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Panama
35.9%

Draw
30.6%

Sporting San Miguelito
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28.4%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sporting San Miguelito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez J. (G) 3. Ortega Y. 23. Marquinez J. 31. Machado A. (C) 5. Campos O. 13. Mendoza A. 17. Asprilla J. 18. Perdomo R. 10. Chiari G. 28. Alvarado J. 40. Rodriguez C.	12. De Leon M. (G) 14. Hall J. 22. Ramirez S. 25. Munoz J. 69. Dominguez S. 6. Heraldez L. (C) 20. Bethancourt A. 29. Castillo J. 55. Benitez R. 2. Caicedo J. 53. Castillo A.
Substitutes
51. Carvajal D. 15. Galvez A. 1. Lopez Giraldo J. (G) 6. Marengo J. 16. Mitre R. 8. Rangel G. 22. Rodriguez M. 19. Vargas D. 9. Walters B.	5. Arizala E. 13. Azcarate M. 26. Brown E. (G) 30. Castillo O. 8. Cordoba A. 21. Hoyos D. 23. Hurtado H. 9. Zorrilla E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', Campos O. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Castillo J. ⚽,
21', Marquinez J. 🟥,
23', 0 - 2, Bethancourt A. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 1 - 2, Ortega Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Campos O. ↓, Mitre R. ↑,
53', 🟨,
63', Benitez R. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
64', Chiari G. ↓, Carvajal D. ↑,
72', 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Alianza has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:22 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alianza against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 8:11 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza Panama - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.79%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Sporting San Miguelito - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.38%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Panama FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
18.10.26	UMECIT - Alianza Panama	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Herrera - Alianza Panama	1:0 ✺
28.09.26	Alianza Panama - Independiente de la Chorrera	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Alianza Panama - Deportivo Universitario	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Veraguas - Alianza Panama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWTL
- Sporting San Miguelito
Liga Panamena de Futbol
19.10.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Tauro	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Union Cocle	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	Veraguas - Sporting San Miguelito	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Independiente de la Chorrera - Sporting San Miguelito	4:3 ✺
14.09.26	Sporting San Miguelito - San Francisco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
02.05.26	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	3:2
11.02.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Alianza Panama	1:0
19.10.25	Sporting San Miguelito - Alianza Panama	2:1
27.07.25	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	2:1
03.05.25	Sporting San Miguelito - Alianza Panama	2:0
20.02.25	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	1:2
01.11.24	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	0:1

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