Match Info
LPF - Clausura - Round 16Date: 2 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Javier Cruz (Panama City)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Panama | Tigo Sports |
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Alianza Panama |
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Sporting San Miguelito |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.55 |
2.9 |
2.55 |
|
 |
2.62 |
2.88 |
2.62 |
|
 |
2.68 |
2.93 |
2.66 |
|
 |
2.38 |
2.94 |
3.24 |
 Watch |
 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.61 |
2.88 |
2.62 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(2.79) |
2.87 ↑
(2.76) |
2.73 ↑
(2.65) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alianza Panama
35.2% | Draw
31.6% | Sporting San Miguelito
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Panama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Sporting San Miguelito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (-0.1%)Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
12.  Gonzalez J. (G)
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28.  Alvarado J.
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17. Asprilla J.
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5. Campos O.
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77. Chiari G.
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26. Garces J.
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7. Guardia H.
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31. Machado A. (C)
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13. Mendoza A.
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16. Mitre R.
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3. Ortega Y.
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| Substitutes |
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15. Galvez A.
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43. Hidalgo J.
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2.  Landazuri F.
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6. Marengo J.
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30. Melgar K. (G)
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34. Palacio I.
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8. Rangel G.
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40. Rodriguez C.
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29. Stewart A.
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19. Vargas D.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Herrera G. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Alvarado J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', 1 - 2, Cordoba A. ⚽,
- 62', Garces J. ↓, Rangel G. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, Guardia H. ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.Recent performances by Alianza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).San Miguelito's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, Alianza has had a series of away games.Recently, San Miguelito has had a series of home games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 0.7:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.5:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting San Miguelito - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.33%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Liga Panamena de Futbol | | | 11.02.26 | Sporting San Miguelito - Alianza Panama | 1:0 | | 19.10.25 | Sporting San Miguelito - Alianza Panama | 2:1 | | 27.07.25 | Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito | 2:1 | | 03.05.25 | Sporting San Miguelito - Alianza Panama | 2:0 | | 20.02.25 | Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito | 1:2 | | 01.11.24 | Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito | 0:1 | | 21.07.24 | Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito | 0:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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