Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
South-america	ViX Latin America


	UNAM		Atlético San Luis

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.7	8.3
	1.25	6.44	8.44
	1.31	5.22	8.33	Watch
	1.25	5.93	10.3	Watch
	1.31	5	7.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)	5.66 ↑ (4.75)	8.55 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAM
72.8%

Draw
16.3%

Atlético San Luis
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

19.1%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

18.8%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNAM that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

UNAM - Atlético San Luis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Gonzalez Vite H. K. (G) 4. Alvarado M. (C) 11. Bolanos N. 13. Chavero P. 28. Flores S. 16. Guerrero A. 25. Herrera L. 3. Mendoza A. 7. Ribeiro S. 9. Rios X. 10. Torres C.	1. Zarate A. (G) 19. Caicedo F. 17. Contreras R. 5. Hernandez C. 27. Hernandez-Represa E. (C) 9. Higuera E. 6. Izquierdo I. 26. Lopez A. 29. Natis W. 8. Sanchez M. 13. Suarez A.
Substitutes
17. Aguirre Guillemin A. 29. Carmona E. 14. Davila J. 21. Delgado F. 6. Dorantes A. 30. Gonzalez M. 12. Hix A. 2. Ramirez K. 1. Toledo W. (G) 5. Vite C.	12. Aguirre M. (G) 21. Bello A. 4. Cano Garcia K. L. 18. Castillo Mayo J. 14. Flores M. 24. Galicia K. 2. Gonzalez Diaz A. 22. Gutierrez M. 15. Hernandez I. 7. Lopez V.
Coaches
Frigerio M.	Quintana I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Contreras R. ⚽,
38', Mendoza A. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Higuera E. ⚽,
45+4', Alvarado M. ↓, Davila J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Higuera E. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,
46', Flores S. ↓, Hix A. ↑,
46', Ribeiro S. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
57', Sanchez M. 🟨,
64', Hernandez C. ↓, Bello A. ↑,
72', Natis W. ↓, Cano Garcia K. L. ↑,
72', Lopez A. ↓, Galicia K. ↑,
86', Guerrero A. 🟨,
90+1', Guerrero A. ↓, Vite C. ↑,
90+1', Mendoza A. ↓, Ramirez K. ↑,
90+6', Sanchez M. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
90+9', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Atlético San Luis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, UNAM has had a series of away games.

In this match, UNAM is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 26:7. (average 2.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAM Pumas Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
25.09.25	Mazatlan - UNAM	0:4 ✺
19.09.25	Querétaro - UNAM	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Tigres UANL - UNAM	5:1 ✺
06.09.25	UNAM - Toluca	1:2 ✺
01.09.25	Santos Laguna - UNAM	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLW
- Atlético San Luis Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
21.09.25	Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Atlético San Luis - Club León	0:3 ✺
07.09.25	Club America - Atlético San Luis	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Puebla - Atlético San Luis	0:6 ✺
24.08.25	Atlético San Luis - Necaxa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
04.01.25	UNAM - Atlético San Luis	2:0
03.08.24	Atlético San Luis - UNAM	1:2
26.01.24	Atlético San Luis - UNAM	0:3
21.10.23	UNAM - Atlético San Luis	4:1
08.05.23	Atlético San Luis - UNAM	1:3
06.08.22	UNAM - Atlético San Luis	3:0
23.04.22	UNAM - Atlético San Luis	2:1

UNAM - Atlético San Luis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide