Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Allianz Field (Saint Paul, MN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, OneSoccer, TSN 1
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Futbol de Primera Radio, HBO Max, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock, Telemundo, TNT, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	Disney+


	USA		Canada

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.00	Watch
	1.75	3.80	4.10
	1.72	4.00	4.40
	1.90	4.06	4.11
	1.79	3.91	4.02
	1.79	4.00	3.85
	1.77	3.88	4.35	Watch
	1.80	3.80	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.9)	3.9 ↑ (3.4)	4.08 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
52.8%

Draw
24.1%

Canada
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Canada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

USA - Canada Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Schwake B. (G) Nashville SC 16. Freeman A. Villarreal 3. Richards C. (C) Crystal Palace 18. Campbell G. West Brom 6. Trusty A. Celtic 15. Raines B. New England Revolution 10. Musah Y. AC Milan 7. Reyna G. Strasbourg 17. Tillman M. Bayer Leverkusen 27. Albert M. Dortmund 22. Ellis J. Orlando City	1. St.Clair D. (G) Inter Miami 23. Sigur N. Toulouse 4. De Fougerolles L. Real Salt Lake 3. Priso R. Vancouver Whitecaps 22. Laryea R. Toronto FC 14. Shaffelburg J. Los Angeles FC 25. Saliba N. Villarreal 7. Eustaquio S. (C) Swansea 11. Millar L. Birmingham 10. David J. Atl. Madrid 12. Oluwaseyi T. Villarreal
Substitutes
4. Adams T. Bournemouth 14. Berhalter S. Middlesbrough 25. Brady C. (G) Chicago Fire 23. Campbell C. Elversberg 2. Dest S. PSV 9. Downs D. St. Louis City 11. Gozo Z. Crystal Palace 19. Hall J. New York Red Bulls 24. Kochen D. (G) Lyngby 26. Mehmeti A. New York Red Bulls 13. Miller P. New England Revolution 20. Pierre N. Philadelphia Union 5. Robinson A. Fulham 12. Robinson M. FC Cincinnati 8. Sullivan C. Philadelphia Union	20. Caldeira M. Minnesota United 6. Choiniere M. Los Angeles FC 27. Chukwu R. Toronto FC 15. Corbeanu T. Toronto FC 24. David P. Brighton 18. Goodman O. (G) Dundee FC 2. Ivanisevic J. FK Sarajevo 26. Jebbison D. Bournemouth 5. Knight-Lebel J. Motherwell 16. Pantemis J. (G) Portland Timbers 21. Russell-Rowe J. Toulouse 28. Smith J. Eldense
Coaches
Pochettino M.	Marsch J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Ellis J. ⚽, Freeman A. (A),
31', Oluwaseyi T. 🟨,
40', Reyna G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Eustaquio S. ↓, Choiniere M. ↑,
46', Reyna G. ↓, Berhalter S. ↑,
46', Musah Y. ↓, Dest S. ↑,
46', Ellis J. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
58', David J. 🟨,
61', Albert M. ↓, Adams T. ↑,
61', Raines B. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
65', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
66', Millar L. ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
71', Tillman M. 🟨,
72', Shaffelburg J. ↓, David P. ↑,
74', Tillman M. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
74', Trusty A. ↓, Robinson A. ↑,
74', Campbell G. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,

Preview

USA is ranked FIFA: 16., and Canada is ranked FIFA: 30..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 2.

USA may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

USA carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for USA in today's match, at odds of 1.8.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, USA has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:15 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA
Friendly
03.10.26	USA - Mexico	3:0 ✺
29.09.26	USA - Chile	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	USA - Peru	4:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
06.07.26	USA - Belgium	1:4 ✺
01.07.26	USA - Bosnia and Herzegovina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW
- Canada
Friendly
03.10.26	Canada - Peru	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Canada - Chile	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
04.07.26	Canada - Morocco	0:3 ✺
28.06.26	South Africa - Canada	0:1 ✺
24.06.26	Switzerland - Canada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
23.03.25	Canada - USA	2:1
Friendly
07.09.24	USA - Canada	1:2
Gold Cup
09.07.23	USA - Canada	3:2 penalties
CONCACAF Nations League
18.06.23	Canada - USA	0:2
FIFA World Cup
30.01.22	Canada - USA	2:0
05.09.21	USA - Canada	1:1
Gold Cup
18.07.21	USA - Canada	1:0

USA - Canada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide