Match Info

World Championship - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: NRG Stadium (Houston, TX) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	21:30	Ariana
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport App, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Albania	19:00	Klani IM, SuperSport 2, TV Klan
Andorra	19:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	14:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Flow Eventos
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	03:00	SBS, SBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
Austria	19:00	ORF On
Azerbaijan	21:00	Ictimai TV
Bangladesh	23:00	Toffee Live, T Sports
Belarus	20:00	Sport TV
Belgium	19:00	BNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza, VRT Canvas
Bolivia	13:00	Entel Gol 56, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	14:00	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	20:00	BNT 1, BNT 3
Canada	13:00	CTV, fubo Sports Network, RDS App, RDS, TSN 1, TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	13:00	DirecTV Sports
China	01:00	Migu
Croatia	19:00	HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	19:00	CT sport Plus, Oneplay
Denmark	19:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Dr Congo	—	RTNC
Ecuador	12:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
El Salvador	11:00	Tigo Sports
Estonia	20:00	ETV 2, ETV+, Go3 Extra Sports
Faroe Islands	18:00	Televarp
Fiji	05:00	FBC Sports
Finland	20:00	MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, M6, Molotov TV
Georgia	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	19:00	Magenta Sport, ZDF
Greece	20:00	ERT 2
Guatemala	11:00	Tigo Sports
Guinea	17:00	RTG
Hong Kong	01:00	Now Player
Hungary	19:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	17:00	RUV 2
India	22:30	ZEE5
Iran	20:30	Persiana Sports
Ireland	18:00	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	20:00	Kan 11, Sport 1
Italy	19:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan, NHK G TV
Kazakhstan	23:00	Kazakhstan TV, Qazsport
Kosovo	19:00	Arena Premium 1, Klan Kosova
Kyrgyzstan	23:00	KTRK Sports
Latvia	20:00	TV6
Lithuania	20:00	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3
Malaysia	01:00	unifi playTV, Unifi TV
Maldives	22:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet, TVM, Yes
Malta	19:00	TVM Sport+
Mexico	11:00	FOX+, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
Morocco	18:00	Al Aoula, Arryadia, Arryadia TNT, Laayoune TV, Tamazight TV
Myanmar	23:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	19:00	NPO 1, NPO Start, Ziggo Go
New Zealand	05:00	TVNZ+
Nicaragua	11:00	Tigo Sports
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	19:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	19:00	NRK 1, NRK Sport, NRK TV
Pakistan	22:00	PTV Sports, Tapmad
Panama	12:00	Tigo Sports
Paraguay	13:00	Canal Trece, GEN
Peru	12:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	01:00	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live, TapGO TV
Poland	19:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	18:00	Sport TV5
Romania	20:00	AntenaPLAY, Antena
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	19:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	01:00	meWATCH, Singtel TV GO
Slovakia	19:00	JOJ Play, STVR Sport
Slovenia	19:00	Arena Sport 1, Slovenia TV2
South America	—	DGO Latin America
South Korea	02:00	JTBC, KBS 2
Spain	19:00	DAZN Espana
Suriname	14:00	STVS
Sweden	19:00	TV4 Play, TV4
Switzerland	19:00	M6, M6, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	01:00	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	22:00	Futbol TV, Varzish Sport
Turkey	20:00	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	18:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	14:00	AUFTV, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	13:00	FOX Network, FOX One, Fubo Sports Network, Futbol de Primera Radio, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo, TUDN
Uzbekistan	22:00	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	13:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	TV 360, VTV 3, VTV Go


	Canada		Morocco

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.25	1.83
	4.80	3.25	1.83
	5.20	3.25	1.82
	5.35	3.36	1.87
	5.58	3.81	1.7	Watch
	5.10	3.25	1.86
	5.43	3.32	1.83
	5.20	3.30	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (4.87)	3.35 ↓ (3.59)	1.82 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canada
18.5%

Draw
28.7%

Morocco
52.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.7%

26.7%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

26.4%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Morocco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canada than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morocco than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.2%	10.2%	87.6%

Canada - Morocco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Canada (2.46) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

TQ, OT - Morocco (1.38) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Morocco (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Morocco (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Morocco will win (118 of 134 users predict this - 88.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.57% – 93.55%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Morocco will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Canada (votes: 2 - 5.9%). Morocco (votes: 28 - 82.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Crepeau M. (G) Orlando City 2. Johnston A. Celtic 15. Bombito M. Nice 4. De Fougerolles L. Fulham 22. Laryea R. Toronto FC 17. Buchanan T. Villarreal 23. Sigur N. Hajduk Split 7. Eustaquio S. (C) FC Porto 20. Ahmed A. Norwich 10. David J. Juventus 12. Oluwaseyi T. Villarreal	1. Bono (G) Al Hilal 2. Hakimi A. (C) PSG 14. Diop I. Fulham 25. Halhal R. KV Mechelen 3. Mazraoui N. Manchester United 6. Bouaddi A. Lille 24. El Aynaoui N. AS Roma 10. Diaz B. Real Madrid 8. Ounahi A. Girona 23. El Khannouss B. VfB Stuttgart 11. Saibari I. Bayern Munich
Substitutes
6. Choiniere M. Los Angeles FC 13. Cornelius D. Marseille 24. David P. Royale Union SG 19. Davies A. Bayern Munich 18. Goodman O. (G) Crystal Palace 3. Jones A. Middlesbrough 9. Larin C. Southampton 11. Millar L. Hull City 26. Nelson J. Austin FC 21. Osorio J. Toronto FC 25. Saliba N. Anderlecht 14. Shaffelburg J. Los Angeles FC 1. St.Clair D. (G) Inter Miami 5. Waterman J. Chicago Fire	21. Amaimouni A. Eintracht Frankfurt 4. Amrabat S. Fenerbahce 19. Belammari Y. Al Ahly 20. El Kaabi A. Olympiacos Piraeus 15. El Mourabet S. Strasbourg 13. El Ouahdi Z. Genk 12. Munir (G) Berkane 9. Rahimi S. Al Ain 18. Riad C. Crystal Palace 5. Saadane M. Al Fateh 26. Salah-Eddine A. AS Roma 17. Sbai A. Angers 22. Tagnaouti A. (G) FAR Rabat 7. Talbi C. Sunderland 16. Yassine G. Strasbourg
Coaches
Marsch J.	Ouahbi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Halhal R. 🟨,
22', Saibari I. ↓, Rahimi S. ↑,
40', Hakimi A. 🟨,
40', Laryea R. 🟨,
43', David J. 🟨,
45', Ounahi A. 🟨,
45+6', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', De Fougerolles L. 🟨,
50', 0 - 1, Ounahi A. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),
63', Bouaddi A. ↓, Amrabat S. ↑,
63', El Khannouss B. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
63', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Larin C. ↑,
67', Larin C. 🟨,
78', Ahmed A. ↓, David P. ↑,
79', Laryea R. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Ounahi A. ⚽, Diaz B. (A),
87', Diop I. ↓, Saadane M. ↑,
87', Ounahi A. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
87', Buchanan T. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
87', Sigur N. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
90+8', 0 - 3, Rahimi S. ⚽, Diaz B. (A),

Preview

Canada is ranked FIFA: 30. Morocco is ranked FIFA: 7.

In recent matches, Canada has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Morocco is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Morocco is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Canada: Flores M. (Knee Injury) Kone I. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Morocco: Aguerd N. (Groin Injury) Ezzalzouli A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Canada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada
FIFA World Cup
28.06.26	South Africa - Canada	0:1 ✺
24.06.26	Switzerland - Canada	2:1 ✺
18.06.26	Canada - Qatar	6:0 ✺
12.06.26	Canada - Bosnia and Herzegovina	1:1 ✺
Friendly
05.06.26	Canada - Ireland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWTT
- Morocco
FIFA World Cup
29.06.26	Netherlands - Morocco	1:2 penalties ✺
24.06.26	Morocco - Haiti	4:2 ✺
19.06.26	Scotland - Morocco	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Brazil - Morocco	1:1 ✺
Friendly
07.06.26	Morocco - Norway	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
01.12.22	Canada - Morocco	1:2
Friendly
11.10.16	Morocco - Canada	4:0

Canada - Morocco