Match Info

MALI: PREMIERE DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	USC Kita		Real Bamako

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.9	1.93
	4.02	2.9	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↓ (4.14)	2.9 ↓ (2.91)	1.96 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USC Kita
23%

Draw
31%

Real Bamako
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

31.1%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

29.8%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USC Kita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Real Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USC Kita than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2).

USC Kita is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Bamako is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Bamako could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Real Bamako have a series of home games.

In this match Real Bamako is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches USC Kita won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams USC Kita won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Kita
Malian Première Division
15.03.24	AS Police de Bamako - USC Kita	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	USC Kita - Black Stars de Badalabougou	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	USC Kita - Club Olympique de Bamako	0:4 ✺
05.02.24	Afrique Football Elite - USC Kita	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	USC Kita - Binga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLLT
- Real Bamako
Malian Première Division
16.03.24	Real Bamako - Club Olympique de Bamako	1:2 ✺
23.02.24	Real Bamako - Bakaridjan	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Korofina - Real Bamako	1:0 ✺
05.02.24	Real Bamako - AS Police de Bamako	1:1 ✺
26.01.24	Real Bamako - Onze Créateurs	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
25.11.23	Real Bamako - USC Kita	2:1
21.06.23	USC Kita - Real Bamako	1:1
19.06.22	Real Bamako - USC Kita	1:0
01.03.17	Real Bamako - USC Kita	1:0

USC Kita - Real Bamako: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide