Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Confederation Cup - Round 3

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Omar Hammadi (Algiers)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 4
Algeria	ENTV
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Canada	beIN Connect
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Fanatiz


	USM Alger		ASEC Mimosas

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.5	9	Watch
	1.41	3.8	7
	1.4	4	8.5
	1.38	3.96	10.72
	1.37	3.91	10	Watch
	1.4	3.75	8.5
	1.38	4.05	8.95	Watch
	1.4	4	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)	3.87 ↓ (4.11)	8.9 ↓ (9.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

Watch this match and CAF Confederation Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 6

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Current Win Probability

USM Alger
66%

Draw
23.7%

ASEC Mimosas
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

22.2%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

17.6%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ASEC Mimosas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USM Alger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASEC Mimosas than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

USM Alger - ASEC Mimosas Predictions

Users Predictions: USM Alger will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Benbout O. (G) 19. Radouani S. (C) 4. Mondeko Zatu K. 21. Alilet A. 15. Lamara N. 14. Benzaza B. 6. Chita O. 11. Likonza G. 27. Ghacha H. 7. Belkacemi I. 22. Alli W. M.	21. Folly C. (G) 19. Coulibaly S. 12. Sacko S. 26. ZouZou F. C. (C) 25. Youssifou A. 15. Dakoi K. 22. Amoussou R. 2. Yabre M. A. 10. Diarrassouba S. 17. Dago N. 23. Cisse R.
Substitutes
24. Ait El Hadj M. 5. Azzi I. 18. Boukhenchouche S. 12. Bousseliou K. 17. Gassama S. 2. Mahrouz R. 8. Merili I. 16. Soufi K. (G) 9. Terrazas A.	11. Brou Koffi D. 7. Dagrou A. 32. Dosso I. 3. Gbakre B. 14. Issouf K. 31. Kone M. 38. Traore D. 30. Tshisungu K. 16. Yelo R. (G)
Coaches
Maaloul N.	Chevalier J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Yabre M. A. (Own goal),
32', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
33', 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Belkacemi I. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Chita O. 🟨,
54', 3 - 0, Belkacemi I. ⚽,
68', Dago N. ↓, Dagrou A. ↑,
68', Coulibaly S. ↓, Gbakre B. ↑,
68', Amoussou R. ↓, Brou Koffi D. ↑,
77', Alli W. M. ↓, Gassama S. ↑,
77', Chita O. ↓, Boukhenchouche S. ↑,
78', Benzaza B. ↓, Terrazas A. ↑,
80', Diarrassouba S. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
80', Cisse R. ↓, Dosso I. ↑,
87', Belkacemi I. ↓, Bousseliou K. ↑,
90+4', Ghacha H. ↓, Ait El Hadj M. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches USM Alger is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ASEC Mimosas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

USM Alger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match USM Alger is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches USM Alger won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams USM Alger won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Alger
CAF Confederation Cup
08.12.24	Jaraaf - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
27.11.24	USM Alger - Orapa United	6:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
21.11.24	Constantine - USM Alger	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	USM Alger - Saoura	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Kabylie - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLWT
- ASEC Mimosas
CAF Confederation Cup
08.12.24	Orapa United - ASEC Mimosas	0:0 ✺
Cote d`Ivoire Ligue 1
01.12.24	SOL - ASEC Mimosas	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
27.11.24	ASEC Mimosas - Jaraaf	2:0 ✺
Cote d`Ivoire Ligue 1
27.10.24	ASEC Mimosas - Mouna Akoupé	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Racing dAbidjan - ASEC Mimosas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
17.05.23	USM Alger - ASEC Mimosas	2:0
10.05.23	ASEC Mimosas - USM Alger	0:0

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