Match Info
Ligue 1 - Round 18Date: 22 May 2026, FridayLocation: Stade du 5 Juillet (Algiers)
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USM Alger |
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Paradou |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.44 |
3.9 |
6 |
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1.5 |
3.95 |
5.9 |
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1.44 |
3.8 |
5.3 |
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1.53 |
3.5 |
7.8 |
 Watch |
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1.44 |
3.9 |
6 |
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1.45 |
3.86 |
6.61 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.36) |
3.82 ↓
(4.33) |
6.27 ↓
(8.38) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
USM Alger
61.8% | Draw
23.7% | Paradou
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USM Alger's form might have worsened.Paradou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USM Alger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paradou than the current prediction. (-4%)USM Alger - Paradou Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. USM Alger will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Paradou will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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16.  Soufi K. (G)
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5. Azzi I.
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23. Chetti I.
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29.  Kamagate D.
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7. Khaldi A.
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11.  Likonza G.
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12. Loucif H.
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4.  Malone Junior C.
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8. Merili I.
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19. Radouani S. (C)
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30.  Tendeng A.
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| Substitutes |
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28. Abada A.
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3. Atmania S.
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9. Benayad R.
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14. Benzaza B.
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24. Bouderbala M.
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13. Dehiri H.
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6. Draoui Z.
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20. Mahrouz R.
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1. Sifour A. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Khaldi A. ⚽,
- 32', Chetti I. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Ramdaoui M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Ben Hamed Y. ↓, Kohili B. A. ↑,
- 46', Kamagate D. ↓, Benayad R. ↑,
- 46', Merili I. ↓, Draoui Z. ↑,
- 46', Tendeng A. ↓, Benzaza B. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Likonza G. ⚽, Benzaza B. (A),
- 58', 2 - 2, Ramdaoui M. ⚽,
- 60', Kohili B. A. ↓, Tahir M. ↑,
- 60', Bendouma A. ↓, Zaoui S. E. ↑,
- 74', Azzi I. 🟨,
- 82', (Penalty Awarded),
- 82', 3 - 2, Benayad R. ⚽,
- 89', Ramdaoui M. ↓, Chegra A. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Benayad R. ⚽, Draoui Z. (A),
- 90+6', 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 1.Recent performances by USM Alger have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Paradou's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).USM Alger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.2:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, USM Alger won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | USM Alger | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Algerian Ligue 1 | | | 06.09.25 | Paradou - USM Alger | 0:1 | | 17.05.25 | Paradou - USM Alger | 3:1 | | 28.01.25 | USM Alger - Paradou | 1:1 | | 11.02.24 | USM Alger - Paradou | 1:5 | | 27.09.23 | Paradou - USM Alger | 1:0 | | 21.05.23 | Paradou - USM Alger | 2:1 | | 25.10.22 | USM Alger - Paradou | 2:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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