Match Info

Date: 5 May 2021, Wednesday


	Uerdingen		Viktoria Köln

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.5
	2.7	3.3	2.55
	2.5	3.25	2.65
	2.7	3.2	2.55
	2.8	3.4	2.62
	2.7	3.2	2.5
	2.68	3.44	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.26)	3.31 ↓ (3.35)	2.56 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uerdingen
35%

Draw
28.3%

Viktoria Köln
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.9%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

19.4%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uerdingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uerdingen's form might have worsened.

Viktoria Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viktoria Köln's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uerdingen than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Uerdingen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktoria Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Uerdingen - Viktoria Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - FRIMO Stadion.

Uerdingen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Viktoria Köln is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Viktoria Köln could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Uerdingen won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Uerdingen won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KFC Uerdingen 05
German 3 Bundesliga
01.05.21	Uerdingen - Dynamo Dresden	0:2 ✺
24.04.21	Türkgücü München - Uerdingen	0:2 ✺
17.04.21	Verl - Uerdingen	3:0 ✺
09.04.21	Hallescher - Uerdingen	2:1 ✺
03.04.21	Uerdingen - 1860 München	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
23.04.21	Viktoria Köln - Verl	2:2 ✺
20.04.21	1860 München - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
17.04.21	Viktoria Köln - Hallescher	2:0 ✺
11.04.21	Zwickau - Viktoria Köln	1:2 ✺
05.04.21	Viktoria Köln - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
16.12.20	Viktoria Köln - Uerdingen	0:2
04.07.20	Uerdingen - Viktoria Köln	1:1
14.12.19	Viktoria Köln - Uerdingen	0:1
German Regionalliga West
25.03.18	Uerdingen - Viktoria Köln	1:1
23.09.17	Viktoria Köln - Uerdingen	0:0
10.03.15	Viktoria Köln - Uerdingen	4:1
17.09.14	Uerdingen - Viktoria Köln	1:1

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