Match Info

Date: 4 September 2022, Sunday

Location: GGZ-Arena Zwickau (Zwickau)

Referee: Jurgensen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Zwickau		Viktoria Köln

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.35	3.25	2.9
	2.32	3.2	2.9
	2.35	3.3	2.85
	2.44	3.4	3.04
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.3	3.44	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.18)	3.28 ↓ (3.37)	2.88 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwickau
39.6%

Draw
28.2%

Viktoria Köln
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.5%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

28.1%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Viktoria Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Zwickau - Viktoria Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Zwickau will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Viktoria Köln will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwickau: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwickau won 1.

Zwickau is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Viktoria Köln is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zwickau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Zwickau won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Zwickau won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
27.08.22	Verl - Zwickau	3:0 ✺
22.08.22	Zwickau - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Elversberg - Zwickau	5:0 ✺
09.08.22	Zwickau - Duisburg	0:1 ✺
06.08.22	Meppen - Zwickau	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- Viktoria Köln
German DFB Pokal
31.08.22	Viktoria Köln - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
27.08.22	Viktoria Köln - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Freiburg II - Viktoria Köln	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Viktoria Köln - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
09.08.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
08.02.22	Zwickau - Viktoria Köln	1:0
31.07.21	Viktoria Köln - Zwickau	1:1
11.04.21	Zwickau - Viktoria Köln	1:2
25.11.20	Viktoria Köln - Zwickau	1:1
02.06.20	Viktoria Köln - Zwickau	3:0
28.09.19	Zwickau - Viktoria Köln	4:0

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