Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	Verl		Uerdingen

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.8
	2.1	3.25	3.5
	2	3.25	3.6
	2.04	3.3	3.45
	2.09	3.52	3.68
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.11	3.28	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.17)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verl
45.6%

Draw
28.4%

Uerdingen
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

19.5%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Uerdingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Verl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uerdingen than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Uerdingen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Verl - Uerdingen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Verl is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Uerdingen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Uerdingen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Verl will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Verl won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Verl won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
10.04.21	1860 München - Verl	3:2 ✺
03.04.21	Verl - Duisburg	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Verl	2:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
20.03.21	Lübeck - Verl	2:2 ✺
17.03.21	Verl - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLTTT
- KFC Uerdingen 05
German 3 Bundesliga
09.04.21	Hallescher - Uerdingen	2:1 ✺
03.04.21	Uerdingen - 1860 München	1:3 ✺
27.03.21	Uerdingen - Zwickau	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Unterhaching - Uerdingen	2:3 ✺
17.03.21	Meppen - Uerdingen	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
27.11.20	Uerdingen - Verl	1:2
German Regionalliga West
10.03.18	Uerdingen - Verl	1:1
16.09.17	Verl - Uerdingen	0:0
07.03.15	Verl - Uerdingen	5:0
13.09.14	Uerdingen - Verl	0:0
15.02.14	Verl - Uerdingen	1:0
16.08.13	Uerdingen - Verl	2:3

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