Match Info

FNL - Round 7

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)

Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)


	Ufa		Chayka Peschanokopskoye

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.47	5.59
	1.69	3.56	5.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)	3.52 ↑ (3.22)	5.45 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
55.2%

Draw
27.2%

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

29.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

28.1%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Ufa - Chayka Peschanokopskoye Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ufa (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ufa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belenov A. (G) 55. Shlyakov E. 50. Khomukha I. 45. Tenyaev A. 15. Khabalov A. 8. Isaev S. 22. Yusupov Z. 24. Mrzljak F. 88. Ageyan M. 11. Minatulaev O. 77. Chimezie W.	58. Fadeev S. (G) 6. Petin Y. 15. Rogochiy B. 55. Gapeev V. 12. Ivannikov D. 88. Markelov I. 10. Dzhebov A. 91. Stolyarov D. 17. Popolitov G. 87. Filev A. 69. Gurylev A.
Substitutes
23. Akhatov D. 40. Chernov A. (G) 10. Gystarov R. 9. Karpuk I. 69. Khanenko I. 48. Lukyanov A. 21. Matskharashvili N. 19. Mayorov E. 44. Ortiz D. 17. Ozmanov D. 79. Troyanov K.	20. Biblik S. 95. Gerdt A. 7. Gulyaev E. 14. Kaptilovich D. 9. Kozachenko O. 2. Pelikh D. 96. Sorochinskiy I. (G) 38. Topinka S.
Coaches
Tetradze O.	Kombarov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Chimezie W. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Minatulaev O. ⚽,
52', Shlyakov E. 🟨,
58', Markelov I. ↓, Gulyaev E. ↑,
59', Filev A. ↓, Biblik S. ↑,
64', Mrzljak F. ↓, Lukyanov A. ↑,
68', Chimezie W. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
68', Minatulaev O. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Ortiz D. ⚽,
73', 🟨,
77', Dzhebov A. ↓, Topinka S. ↑,
79', Ageyan M. ↓, Mayorov E. ↑,
79', Yusupov Z. ↓, Gystarov R. ↑,
81', Gapeev V. ↓, Pelikh D. ↑,
81', Gurylev A. ↓, Gerdt A. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Ortiz D. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Ufa is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
23.08.25	KAMAZ - Ufa	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Ufa - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Rotor - Ufa	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Ufa - Shinnik	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Fakel - Ufa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWL
- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
24.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Arsenal Tula	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Sokol Saratov - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
02.03.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ufa	1:1
20.09.24	Ufa - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:1
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
24.04.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ufa	1:0
12.11.23	Ufa - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1
16.07.23	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ufa	2:1
Club Friendly
16.06.21	Ufa - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1
Russian Cup
25.09.19	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ufa	0:1

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