Match Info

FNL - Round 6

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Chayka Central Stadium (Peschanokopskoye)

Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)


	Chayka Peschanokopskoye		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	4.09	3.22	2.04
	4.03	3.14	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.25)	3.18 ↑ (3.06)	2.01 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
23.3%

Draw
29.7%

Arsenal Tula
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

30.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

29.7%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Peschanokopskoye will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Arsenal will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
58. Fadeev S. (G) 20. Biblik S. 83. Ishchenko N. 14. Kaptilovich D. 27. Krutovskikh A. 88. Markelov I. 6. Petin Y. 17. Popolitov G. 15. Rogochiy B. 18. Sokolov A. 91. Stolyarov D.	18. Tsulaya M. (G) 59. Avanesyan T. 77. Berdnikov A. 9. Kalmykov A. 45. Karmaev N. 78. Lipovoy D. 4. Penchikov D. 8. Popov A. 21. Razdorskikh N. 7. Reyes E. 22. Tsaraev A.
Substitutes
87. Filev A. 55. Gapeev V. 95. Gerdt A. 7. Gulyaev E. 69. Gurylev A. 12. Ivannikov D. 19. Ivanov I. 9. Kozachenko O. 11. Kriushichev M. 2. Pelikh D. 96. Sorochinskiy I. (G) 38. Topinka S.	17. Ahlinvi M. 24. Azyavin I. 14. Brnovic M. 11. Djuranovic U. 10. Gorbunov I. 44. Isaenko O. 40. Khodeev P. 42. Melikhov A. (G) 46. Moskalenchik I. 1. Sangare D. (G) 5. Sergeev D. 50. Sokolov I.
Coaches
Kombarov D.	Gunko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Berdnikov A. ↓, Isaenko O. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', Biblik S. ↓, Filev A. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Kalmykov A. ⚽,
69', Lipovoy D. ↓, Gorbunov I. ↑,
69', Tsaraev A. ↓, Brnovic M. ↑,
72', Ishchenko N. ↓, Gurylev A. ↑,
72', Stolyarov D. ↓, Kriushichev M. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Brnovic M. ⚽,
75', Kriushichev M. 🟨,
76', Markelov I. ↓, Ivannikov D. ↑,
76', Sokolov A. ↓, Gulyaev E. ↑,
77', Kalmykov A. ↓, Azyavin I. ↑,
85', Avanesyan T. 🟨,
90+4', Fadeev S. ↓, Sorochinskiy I. ↑,
90+4', Reyes E. ↓, Moskalenchik I. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 3, Brnovic M. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Peschanokopskoye may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arsenal is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Peschanokopskoye won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
16.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Sokol Saratov - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.1 LTTTW
- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
16.08.25	Arsenal Tula - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Rodina Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	Arsenal Tula - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Arsenal Tula - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
17.03.25	Arsenal Tula - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0
21.10.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Arsenal Tula	2:2

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