Match Info

FNL - Round 5

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Chayka Central Stadium (Peschanokopskoye)

Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)


	Chayka Peschanokopskoye		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	3.18	3.03	2.5
	2.64	2.97	2.86	Watch
	2.1	3.17	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.1)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)	3.07 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
36.7%

Draw
31.7%

Shinnik
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

30%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chayka Peschanokopskoye's form might have worsened.

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shinnik's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Peschanokopskoye will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Shinnik will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Peschanokopskoye (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Shinnik (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Peschanokopskoye (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Peschanokopskoye (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Shinnik (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
58. Fadeev S. (G) 20. Biblik S. 83. Ishchenko N. 12. Ivannikov D. 19. Ivanov I. 27. Krutovskikh A. 6. Petin Y. 17. Popolitov G. 15. Rogochiy B. 18. Sokolov A. 91. Stolyarov D.	51. Mitrov T. (G) 77. Gongapshev A. 62. Karpov V. 2. Kosogorov A. 53. Kotin N. 8. Kul R. 64. Lanin O. 55. Lystsov V. 5. Malyarov K. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 10. Shipunov T.
Substitutes
87. Filev A. 55. Gapeev V. 95. Gerdt A. 7. Gulyaev E. 69. Gurylev A. 14. Kaptilovich D. 9. Kozachenko O. 11. Kriushichev M. 88. Markelov I. 96. Sorochinskiy I. (G) 38. Topinka S.	50. Golubev A. 61. Malakhov A. 20. Martovoy D. 88. Mironov D. 23. Nafikov V. 11. Porokhov I. 6. Rukas A. 92. Shchelkunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)
Coaches
Kombarov D.	Buloychik A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Popolitov G. ⚽,
16', Ivanov I. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Kul R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ivanov I. ↓, Topinka S. ↑,
63', Ishchenko N. ↓, Gulyaev E. ↑,
63', Sokolov A. ↓, Gerdt A. ↑,
63', Biblik S. ↓, Filev A. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Samoilov D. ⚽,
75', Kul R. ↓, Golubev A. ↑,
78', Popolitov G. ↓, Gurylev A. ↑,
79', Kosogorov A. ↓, Malakhov A. ↑,
79', Samoilov D. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
81', Ivannikov D. 🟨,
87', Shipunov T. ↓, Mironov D. ↑,
89', Gerdt A. 🟨,
90', Gongapshev A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 1.

Peschanokopskoye might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Peschanokopskoye won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Shinnik - the odds 3.84 are the expected chance of winning is 24.75%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
10.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Sokol Saratov - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:3 ✺
24.05.25	Sokol Saratov - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.1 TTTWL
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
10.08.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Ufa - Shinnik	1:0 ✺
25.07.25	Arsenal Tula - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Shinnik - Ural	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Rodina Moscow - Shinnik	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
17.11.24	Shinnik - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0
Russian Cup
30.10.24	Shinnik - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:0 penalties
Russian FNL
15.09.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik	2:2
27.02.21	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik	5:1
05.09.20	Shinnik - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0
12.10.19	Shinnik - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:3

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