Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Nelson Mandela National Stadium (Kampala)

Referee: Kabore V. (Bfa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mozambique	TVM 1
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
Uganda	FUFA TV, NBS Sport 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Uganda		Mozambique

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	5	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.88	3.05	4.45
	1.9	3.19	4.49
	1.98	3.15	3.80	Watch
	1.94	3.13	4.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.12)	3.12 ↑ (3)	4.52 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uganda
49.3%

Draw
30%

Mozambique
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uganda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Uganda's performance.

Mozambique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mozambique might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Uganda - Mozambique Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Uganda will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Mozambique will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uganda: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Uganda (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Mozambique (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.5 - Uganda (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Uganda (votes: 6 - 60%). Mozambique (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Magoola S. (G) Richards Bay 12. Bwomono E. IBV Vestmannaeyjar 13. Capradossi E. Universitatea Cluj 15. Obita J. Hibernian 23. Kayondo A. Liberec 8. Aucho K. (C) Young Africans 4. Semakula K. Al Arabi (Kuwait) 22. Ssemugabi J. Kitara 21. Okello A. Vipers 7. Mato R. Vardar 11. Mukwala S. Simba	22. Urrubal I. (G) 23. Diogo Calila Santa Clara 17. Mexer (C) Keciorengucu 15. Mandava R. Sunderland 5. Langa B. Pafos 16. Amade A. Dunfermline 21. Guima Zira FK 13. Ratifo S. Chemie Leipzig 11. Pepo Caldas SC 19. Witi Nacional 20. Catamo G. Sporting Lisbon
Substitutes
6. Achayi H. Express FC 9. Ikpeazu U. St Johnstone 17. Kakande P. Villa 2. Kizito G. Kampala City 14. Mpande J. PVF-CAND 1. Mutakubwa J. (G) BUL 10. Mutyaba T. CS Sfaxien 18. Onyango D. (G) Mamelodi Sundowns 5. Sibbick T. Burton 16. Ssekiganda R. 3. Torach R. Vipers 20. Watambala K. Vipers	8. Abdala K. 9. Bangal F. Mestre 10. Bauque C. Associacao Black Bulls 7. Cantolo A. Chingale de Tete 4. Chamboco Chingale de Tete 14. Chico Costa do Sol 1. Ernan (G) Associacao Black Bulls 6. Kambala M. Polokwane City 18. Melque A. Associacao Black Bulls 3. Nene Associacao Black Bulls 2. Samuane O. 12. Zavala K. (G) Maritimo
Coaches
Put P.	Francisco Q. C. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Okello A. ⚽, Ssemugabi J. (A),
56', Guima ↓, Kambala M. ↑,
56', Pepo ↓, Bangal F. ↑,
59', Aucho K. 🟨,
65', Amade A. ↓, Nene ↑,
65', Witi ↓, Melque A. ↑,
65', Ratifo S. ↓, Bauque C. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Mato R. ⚽, Mukwala S. (A),
77', Mukwala S. ↓, Mutyaba T. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Mato R. ⚽, Okello A. (A),
89', Mato R. ↓, Ikpeazu U. ↑,
89', Ssemugabi J. ↓, Mpande J. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Capradossi E. ⚽, Okello A. (A),
90+4', Semakula K. 🟨,

Preview

Uganda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mozambique may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Uganda is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uganda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uganda
African Nations Championship
23.08.25	Uganda - Senegal	0:1 ✺
18.08.25	South Africa - Uganda	3:3 ✺
11.08.25	Uganda - Niger	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Guinea - Uganda	0:3 ✺
04.08.25	Uganda - Algeria	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWWL
- Mozambique
Friendly
10.06.25	South Africa - Mozambique	2:0 ✺
COSAFA Cup
10.06.25	Mozambique - Zimbabwe	1:3 ✺
07.06.25	Mozambique - Mauritius	0:0 ✺
04.06.25	South Africa - Mozambique	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Algeria - Mozambique	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Mozambique - Uganda	3:1

Uganda - Mozambique: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide