Match Info

African Nations Championship

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nelson Mandela National Stadium (Kampala) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 4, Supersport WWE
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect
Canada	13:00	beIN Connect
Finland	20:00	Veikkaus TV
France	19:00	beIN Connect
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	00:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:00	Supersport Maximo 1
Philippines	01:00	beIN Connect
Singapore	01:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	19:00	SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4, SuperSport WWE
Thailand	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Uganda	20:00	FUFA TV, UBC TV
Usa	13:00	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	South Africa		Uganda

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.75	3	Watch
	2.55	3	2.87
				Watch
	2.47	2.96	3.15
	2.42	2.71	3.47	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.8
	2.68	3	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.59)	2.86 ↓ (2.89)	3.04 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Africa
37.1%

Draw
32.4%

Uganda
30.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Uganda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

South Africa - Uganda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Uganda will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. South Africa (votes: 2 - 40%). Uganda (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - South Africa (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - South Africa (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - South Africa (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. South Africa (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Uganda (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Xulu S. (G) Siwelele 3. Johannes K. Mamelodi Sundowns 4. Mngonyama K. 2. Mphahlele R. 14. Mashego T. Mamelodi Sundowns 6. Jooste W. 13. Khoza M. Mamelodi Sundowns 8. Ndlondlo N. Orlando Pirates 20. Dolly K. 7. Kutumela T. 10. Maema N. (C) Mamelodi Sundowns	18. Mutakubwa J. (G) BUL 22. Kizito G. Kampala City 13. Torach R. (C) Vipers 16. Mukundane H. Vipers 5. Achayi H. Express FC 24. Ssebagala E. NEC FC 25. Watambala K. Vipers 21. Okello A. Vipers 10. Kakande P. Villa 14. Mpande R. Villa 7. Ssemugabi J. Kitara
Substitutes
19. Dlambewu M. 17. Lepasa Z. Orlando Pirates 18. Majadibodu H. Pretoria U. 21. Makaringe F. Cape Town City 9. Mashini S. 23. Masiya T. 15. Masuku M. Golden Arrows 22. Mbanjwa A. (G) 12. Molaoa T. Chippa Utd. 5. Nkosi N. Mamelodi Sundowns 16. Thuntsane K. (G) 11. Tlolane T.	9. Ahimbisibwe Ivan Uganda Revenue 17. Anyama E. Kampala City 15. Bwambale L. Kitara 1. Kiggundu D. (G) Vipers 19. Kusiima C. (G) Kitara 20. Kwikiriza S. Kampala City 3. Mwere N. BUL 8. Ngonde E. Villa 2. Odong A. Villa 4. Odongo G. NEC FC 12. Sentamu Y. Vipers 11. Usama A. Kampala City
Coaches
Ntseki M.	Byekwaso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Ssemugabi J. ⚽, Kakande P. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Mphahlele R. ⚽, Mngonyama K. (A),
58', 2 - 1, Kutumela T. ⚽,
64', Mpande R. ↓, Ahimbisibwe Ivan ↑,
75', Mukundane H. 🟨,
77', Kakande P. ↓, Sentamu Y. ↑,
79', Mphahlele R. ↓, Majadibodu H. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Ndlondlo N. ⚽, Dolly K. (A),
88', 3 - 2, Okello A. (Pen),
88', Okello A. ↓, Usama A. ↑,
89', Dolly K. ↓, Masuku M. ↑,
90', Ndlondlo N. ↓, Makarine M. ↑,
90+5', Mashego T. 🟨,
90+5', Maema N. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 3, Torach R. (Pen),
90+7', Mashego T. ↓, Tlolane T. ↑,

Preview

South Africa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Africa
African Nations Championship
15.08.25	Niger - South Africa	0:0 ✺
11.08.25	South Africa - Guinea	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Algeria - South Africa	1:1 ✺
COSAFA Cup
15.06.25	Angola - South Africa	3:0 ✺
13.06.25	South Africa - Comoros	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTLW
- Uganda
African Nations Championship
11.08.25	Uganda - Niger	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Guinea - Uganda	0:3 ✺
04.08.25	Uganda - Algeria	0:3 ✺
Friendly
09.06.25	Uganda - Gambia	1:1 ✺
06.06.25	Cameroon - Uganda	3:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
15.11.24	Uganda - South Africa	0:2
06.09.24	South Africa - Uganda	2:2
Friendly
10.06.21	South Africa - Uganda	3:2
COSAFA Cup
04.06.19	Uganda - South Africa	1:1

South Africa - Uganda