Match Info
Premier League - Round 11Date: 17 December 2025, WednesdayLocation: Rwamwanja stadium (Nkoma)
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Mbarara City |
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Uganda Revenue Authority SC |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.7 |
2.98 |
1.98 |
|
 |
3.77 |
2.98 |
1.93 |
|
 |
3.81 |
3.1 |
1.97 |
 Watch |
 |
3.7 |
2.8 |
2 |
|
 |
3.67 |
2.98 |
2.03 |
|
 |
3.75 |
3 |
1.88 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.73 ↑
(3.66) |
2.97 ↓
(3.3) |
1.97 ↑
(1.92) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mbarara City
24.1% | Draw
30.2% | Uganda Revenue Authority SC
45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Uganda Revenue Authority SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uganda Revenue Authority SC than the current prediction. (+3.5%)Mbarara City - Uganda Revenue Authority SC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 1 - 0, Kitegenyi H. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 0.Neither of the teams is performing well right now.URA SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. URA SC will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 0 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.4:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Mbarara City won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 04.04.25 | Mbarara City - Uganda Revenue Authority SC | 0:2 | | 28.09.24 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbarara City | 1:1 | | 07.05.24 | Mbarara City - Uganda Revenue Authority SC | 0:0 | | 29.12.23 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbarara City | 3:0 | | 03.03.22 | Mbarara City - Uganda Revenue Authority SC | 0:0 | | 22.12.21 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbarara City | 2:0 | | 27.04.21 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbarara City | 2:0 |
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