Match Info

NB I. - Round 18

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Szusza Ferenc Stadion (Budapest)

Referee: Zierkelbach P. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Ujpest		Kazincbarcikai

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.25
	1.44	4.6	5.5
	1.42	4.55	6.1
	1.45	4.6	5.79
	1.47	4.7	5.91	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6.5
	1.43	4.77	6.28
	1.41	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)	4.65 ↓ (4.67)	6.1 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ujpest
64.9%

Draw
19.9%

Kazincbarcikai
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

20%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

15.6%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ujpest have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Kazincbarcikai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ujpest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kazincbarcikai than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Ujpest - Kazincbarcikai Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ujpest will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Kazincbarcikai will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ujpest (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Banai D. (G) 6. Rasak D. 30. Nunes J. (C) 55. Fiola A. 44. Gergenyi B. 18. Lacoux T. 10. Tajti M. 17. Matko A. 11. Horvath K. 88. Ljujic M. 7. Beridze G.	1. Gyollai D. (G) 44. Szujo A. 5. Racz L. 14. Rasheed S. A. 19. Deutsch L. 15. Major M. 23. Meskhi M. 11. Slogar M. 10. Kartik B. 7. Makrai G. 70. Ubochioma M.
Substitutes
8. Ademi A. 31. Dombo D. (G) 32. Ganea G. 26. Geiger B. 15. Goncalves T. 5. Kobouri D. 45. Medeiros I. 47. Palko A. 1. Piscitelli R. (G) 38. Sarkadi K. 34. Tucic M. 39. Vlijter G.	78. Balazsi L. 72. Banfalvi G. (G) 8. Berecz Z. 30. Boros Z. 66. Ferencsik B. 42. Konyves N. 24. Kun O. 17. Prosser D. 18. Schuszter R. 38. Sos B. 6. Szoke G. 88. Trencsenyi B.
Coaches
Bodor B.	Kuttor A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Meskhi M. 🟨,
42', Lacoux T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Makrai G. ↓, Konyves N. ↑,
51', Horvath K. 🟨,
57', Major M. ↓, Kun O. ↑,
58', Kartik B. ↓, Berecz Z. ↑,
58', Lacoux T. ↓, Ademi A. ↑,
58', Ljujic M. ↓, Tucic M. ↑,
63', Szujo A. ↓, Szoke G. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Tucic M. ⚽, Beridze G. (A),
67', 1 - 1, Ubochioma M. ⚽, Kun O. (A),
80', Kun O. 🟨,
81', Meskhi M. 🟨,
82', Beridze G. ↓, Ganea G. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Nunes J. ⚽, Tucic M. (A),
85', Slogar M. ↓, Ferencsik B. ↑,
88', Fiola A. 🟨,
88', Berecz Z. 🟨,
90+1', Horvath K. ↓, Geiger B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ NB II.).

Ujpest has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kazincbarcikai is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kazincbarcikai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ujpest is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ujpest won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ujpest FC
Hungarian NB I
13.12.25	MTK Budapest - Ujpest	3:4 ✺
07.12.25	Ujpest - Zalaegerszegi TE	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Kisvárda - Ujpest	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Paksi SE - Ujpest	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Ujpest - Győri ETO	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLWL
- Kazincbarcikai
Hungarian NB I
14.12.25	Kazincbarcikai - Paksi SE	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Győri ETO - Kazincbarcikai	3:1 ✺
03.12.25	Kazincbarcikai - Győri ETO	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Kazincbarcikai - Diósgyőri	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Debreceni - Kazincbarcikai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
20.09.25	Kazincbarcikai - Ujpest	2:0

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