Match Info

Date: 29 September 2020, Tuesday


	Ullensaker Kisa		Tromsø

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.5
	4.75	4.33	1.5
	4.9	4.35	1.55	Watch
	5	4.1	1.55
	5.48	4.45	1.58
	5.5	4	1.53
	5.3	4.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (4.1)	4.27 ↑ (4.18)	1.54 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ullensaker Kisa
18%

Draw
21.8%

Tromsø
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

22.2%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

14%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ullensaker Kisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tromsø's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ullensaker Kisa than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ullensaker Kisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-25.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tromsø, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.5%	10.6%	80.9%

Ullensaker Kisa - Tromsø Predictions

Users Predictions: Tromsø will win (38 of 47 users predict this - 80.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.6% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Eliteserien).

Recent matches Ull/Kisa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tromsø is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tromsø could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tromsø is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ull/Kisa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ull/Kisa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ullensaker Kisa
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.09.20	Ullensaker Kisa - Raufoss	1:4 ✺
14.09.20	Ranheim - Ullensaker Kisa	2:3 ✺
08.09.20	Ullensaker Kisa - Øygarden	6:1 ✺
30.08.20	Tromsø - Ullensaker Kisa	2:1 ✺
27.08.20	Ullensaker Kisa - Kongsvinger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWLL
- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.09.20	Tromsø - Grorud	3:1 ✺
21.09.20	Sandnes Ulf - Tromsø	0:3 ✺
15.09.20	Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK	0:1 ✺
08.09.20	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Tromsø	1:1 ✺
30.08.20	Tromsø - Ullensaker Kisa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.08.20	Tromsø - Ullensaker Kisa	2:1
Club Friendly
26.06.20	Ullensaker Kisa - Tromsø	0:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.09.14	Tromsø - Ullensaker Kisa	5:0
15.06.14	Ullensaker Kisa - Tromsø	1:3

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