Match Info

3. Liga - Round 16

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	BR Fernsehen, Magenta Sport, SWR Fernsehen
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		1860 München

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.05	Watch
	2.98	3.55	2.15
	3.2	3.6	2.2
	2.65	3.72	2.32	Watch
	3.04	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.14	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.65)	3.55 ↓ (3.72)	2.15 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
31%

Draw
26.1%

1860 München
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

25%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

24.2%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

1860 München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Ulm 1846 - 1860 München Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). 1860 München will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for 1860 München: 64.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1860 München will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (G) 28. Scholze M. 27. Mazagg L. 21. Seegert M. 32. Kolle N. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. 11. Chessa D. 20. Pepic M. 43. Dajaku L. 9. Roser L.	21. Dahne T. (G) 25. Dulic S. 16. Reinthaler M. 3. Voet S. 29. Rittmuller M. 26. Maier P. 5. Jacobsen T. (C) 41. Lippmann C. 31. Volland K. 22. Haugen S. 34. Hobsch P.
Substitutes
7. Aksakal E. 49. Becker A. 17. Besong P. 34. Boller J. 25. Loder E. 19. Meier J. 1. Schmitt M. (G) 30. Vater F. 8. Westermeier B.	20. Althaus S. 40. Bachmann P. (G) 13. Christiansen M. 2. Danhof T. 18. Jakob K. 7. Niederlechner F. 8. Philipp D. 9. Steinkotter J. 30. Wolfram M.
Coaches
Dotchev P.	Kauczinski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Haugen S. ⚽, Volland K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Scholze M. 🟨,
69', Pepic M. ↓, Loder E. ↑,
69', Roser L. ↓, Besong P. ↑,
75', Haugen S. ↓, Niederlechner F. ↑,
75', Volland K. ↓, Philipp D. ↑,
78', Dajaku L. ↓, Aksakal E. ↑,
84', Rittmuller M. ↓, Danhof T. ↑,
85', Seegert M. ↓, Boller J. ↑,
85', Chessa D. ↓, Becker A. ↑,
86', Loder E. 🟨,
89', Philipp D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Ulm has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

1860 München has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

1860 München could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ulm won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulm won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

1860 München - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.01%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
22.11.25	TSV Havelse - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.25	Rheindorf Altach - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.25	Ulm 1846 - Hansa Rostock	0:5 ✺
01.11.25	Ulm 1846 - VfB Stuttgart II	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Verl - Ulm 1846	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLLL
- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
23.11.25	1860 München - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Jahn Regensburg - 1860 München	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	1860 München - Energie Cottbus	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Waldhof Mannheim - 1860 München	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	1860 München - Duisburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.03.25	Ulm 1846 - 1860 München	2:0
German 3 Bundesliga
02.03.24	1860 München - Ulm 1846	0:1
03.10.23	Ulm 1846 - 1860 München	1:0

Upcoming Matches