Match Info

3. Liga - Round 11

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Grünwalder Stadion (Munich)

Referee: Wilke M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	Sportklub
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	1860 München		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.15	3.35	3.1
	2.38	3.55	2.95
	2.48	2.98	2.97	Watch
	2.15	3.35	3.15	Watch
	2.42	3.55	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.42)	3.36 ↓ (3.55)	2.92 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1860 München
40%

Draw
27.8%

Duisburg
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

26.1%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1860 München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

1860 München - Duisburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. 1860 München will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Duisburg will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. 1860 München (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - 1860 München (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. 1860 München (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dahne T. (G) 25. Dulic S. 37. Schifferl R. 3. Voet S. 29. Rittmuller M. 36. Deniz T. 5. Jacobsen T. (C) 41. Lippmann C. 31. Volland K. 22. Haugen S. 7. Niederlechner F.	1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 42. Hahn A. (C) 27. Coskun C. 33. Tugbenyo J. 6. Bulic R. 23. Symalla J. 10. Viet C. 37. Sussek P. 22. Topken T.
Substitutes
40. Bachmann P. (G) 13. Christiansen M. 2. Danhof T. 33. Fassmann L. 34. Hobsch P. 26. Maier P. 8. Philipp D. 16. Reinthaler M. 30. Wolfram M.	28. Egerer F. 17. Gockan M. 20. Jessen N. 26. Kruger F. 18. Meuer S. 14. Noss C. 24. Paris J. (G) 40. Schlicke B. 30. Visser A.
Coaches
Kayabunar A.	Hirsch D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Deniz T. 🟨,
39', Sussek P. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Haugen S. ⚽, Deniz T. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Bitter J. ⚽, Symalla J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tugbenyo J. ↓, Meuer S. ↑,
63', Viet C. ↓, Noss C. ↑,
73', Deniz T. ↓, Christiansen M. ↑,
73', Niederlechner F. ↓, Hobsch P. ↑,
77', Volland K. ↓, Philipp D. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Haugen S. ⚽,
87', Sussek P. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,
87', Coskun C. ↓, Gockan M. ↑,
87', Symalla J. ↓, Visser A. ↑,
90', Haugen S. ↓, Reinthaler M. ↑,
90+2', Topken T. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, Jacobsen T. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 4.

1860 München is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Duisburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Duisburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

1860 München is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:17. (average 2.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, 1860 München won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:9. (average 2.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
05.10.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - 1860 München	1:0 ✺
01.10.25	1860 München - Viktoria Köln	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	1860 München - Hoffenheim II	1:5 ✺
17.09.25	Hansa Rostock - 1860 München	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
03.10.25	Duisburg - Hansa Rostock	2:2 ✺
30.09.25	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Duisburg - Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	TSV Havelse - Duisburg	1:1 ✺
16.09.25	Schweinfurt - Duisburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.01.24	1860 München - Duisburg	4:1
19.08.23	Duisburg - 1860 München	0:3
11.03.23	Duisburg - 1860 München	2:2
03.09.22	1860 München - Duisburg	4:1
24.04.22	Duisburg - 1860 München	0:6
20.11.21	1860 München - Duisburg	3:2
06.03.21	Duisburg - 1860 München	1:0

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