Match Info

3. Liga - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportclub Arena (Verl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Verl		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.9	3.4	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.3
	1.99	3.95	3.43
	2.11	3.84	2.92	Watch
	1.98	3.7	3.28	Watch
	2.11	3.74	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.11)	3.81 ↓ (3.84)	3.21 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verl
46.5%

Draw
24.5%

Ulm 1846
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

24.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

24.1%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Verl - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ulm will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verl: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schulze P. (G) 20. Mhamdi O. 5. Ens M. 34. Otto F. 24. Stocker M. 23. Besio A. 8. Waidner D. 6. Eze J. 30. Gayret T. (C) 9. Arweiler J. 10. Taz B.	39. Ortag C. (G) 28. Scholze M. 21. Seegert M. 15. David J. 32. Kolle N. 11. Chessa D. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. (C) 43. Dajaku L. 8. Westermeier B. 25. Loder E.
Substitutes
21. Knost T. 3. Kohler E. 14. Lehmann P. 27. Onuoha C. 28. Otto Y. 7. Stark J. 11. Steczyk D. 18. Wessig F. 40. Zacharias M. (G)	33. Anderson Brown E. 49. Becker A. 17. Besong P. 31. Ehe B. 4. Etse J. 2. Gorlich L. 19. Meier J. 9. Roser L. 1. Schmitt M. (G)
Coaches
Strobl T.	Glasbrenner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Taz B. ⚽, Besio A. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Besio A. ⚽, Eze J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Westermeier B. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
46', Scholze M. ↓, Gorlich L. ↑,
48', David J. ↓, Boller J. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Gayret T. ⚽, Mhamdi O. (A),
63', Dajaku L. ↓, Meier J. ↑,
66', Arweiler J. ↓, Onuoha C. ↑,
73', 4 - 0, Waidner D. ⚽, Onuoha C. (A),
74', Chessa D. ↓, Besong P. ↑,
75', Waidner D. ↓, Otto Y. ↑,
75', Besio A. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
77', 5 - 0, Otto Y. ⚽, Gayret T. (A),
80', Gayret T. ↓, Wessig F. ↑,
80', Otto F. ↓, Lehmann P. ↑,
90', Brandt M. 🟨,
90+6', Wessig F. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 15).

Verl is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ulm's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Verl is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Verl won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Verl won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Verl - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.01%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
18.10.25	Saarbrücken - Verl	2:4 ✺
04.10.25	Schweinfurt - Verl	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Verl - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Jahn Regensburg - Verl	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Verl - Energie Cottbus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTLW
- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
19.10.25	Ulm 1846 - Energie Cottbus	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.10.25	Augsburg - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
04.10.25	Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846	4:1 ✺
01.10.25	Ulm 1846 - Schweinfurt	5:1 ✺
28.09.25	Hoffenheim II - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
18.05.24	Ulm 1846 - Verl	4:2
16.12.23	Verl - Ulm 1846	0:3

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