Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 21

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Centus-Arena (Aalen)

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Ulm 1846		Unterhaching

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.83	3.6	4
	1.9	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.75	3.9	4.51
	1.9	3.77	4.11
	1.75	3.6	3.6
	1.82	3.65	3.93
	1.82	3.45	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.6)	3.61 ↓ (3.78)	3.97 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
51%

Draw
25.7%

Unterhaching
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.1%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

23.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulm 1846's form might have worsened.

Unterhaching has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulm 1846, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Ulm 1846 - Unterhaching Predictions

Users Predictions: Ulm 1846 will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.51% – 98.83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (G) 4. Gaal T. 5. Reichert J. (C) 32. Strompf P. 18. Stoll L. 26. Maier P. 23. Brandt M. 43. Rosch R. 11. Chessa D. 33. Higl F. 22. Scienza L.	1. Vollath R. (G) 3. Lamby M. 5. Welzmuller J. (C) 37. Schifferl R. 39. Waidner D. 10. Maier S. 8. Stiefler M. 7. Krattenmacher M. 6. Westermeier B. 30. Skarlatidis S. 34. Hobsch P.
Substitutes
8. Ahrend L. 7. Allgeier B. 6. Geyer T. 21. Jann N. 24. Kastanaras T. 10. Ludwig A. 1. Otto L. (G) 9. Roser L. 25. Yarbrough L.	11. Fetsch M. 44. Hirtlreiter A. 27. Hoops T. 20. Leuthard A. 22. Scherger F. (G) 31. Schmid F. 19. Welzmuller M. 2. Zentrich V. 21. Zimmermann T.
Coaches
Worle T.	Unterberger M.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ulm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ulm have a series of guest games.

In this match Ulm is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ulm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
Club Friendly
05.01.24	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	4:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.23	Saarbrücken - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Verl - Ulm 1846	0:3 ✺
09.12.23	Ulm 1846 - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Viktoria Köln - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWTW
- SpVgg Unterhaching
Club Friendly
13.01.24	Unterhaching - Rheindorf Altach	4:1 ✺
08.01.24	Jahn Regensburg - Unterhaching	3:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.23	Unterhaching - Jahn Regensburg	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Unterhaching - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
10.12.23	Dynamo Dresden - Unterhaching	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
19.08.23	Unterhaching - Ulm 1846	3:2

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