Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Ulm 1846		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.8
	1.88	3.6	3.75
	1.9	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.96	3.87	3.96
	1.91	3.87	3.96
	1.75	3.7	3.5
	1.86	3.65	3.74	Watch
	1.87	3.5	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.71)	3.67 ↓ (3.7)	3.75 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
49.7%

Draw
25.4%

Borussia Dortmund II
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

23.3%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	6.2%	68.7%

Ulm 1846 - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia Dortmund II: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (G) 6. Geyer T. 5. Reichert J. (C) 25. Yarbrough L. 7. Allgeier B. 26. Maier P. 23. Brandt M. 43. Rosch R. 11. Chessa D. 33. Higl F. 22. Scienza L.	31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 19. Tattermusch T. 23. Pfanne F. (C) 5. Suver M. 3. Bueno G. 8. Roggow F. 6. Azhil A. 30. Pohlmann O. 20. Hettwer J. 14. Eberwein M. 27. Elongo-Yombo R.
Substitutes
8. Ahrend L. 29. De Sousa Oelsner D. 4. Gaal T. 21. Jann N. 10. Ludwig A. 1. Otto L. (G) 9. Roser L. 31. Ruhle T. 18. Stoll L.	7. Bamba S. 33. Estevao T. (G) 17. Gobel P. 32. Kamara A. 16. Lutke-Frie D. 10. Michel F. 29. Nischalke J. 37. Semic L.
Coaches
Worle T.	Zimmermann J.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Ulm have a series of guest games.

In this match Ulm is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
02.12.23	Viktoria Köln - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
25.11.23	Ulm 1846 - Freiburg II	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.11.23	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	0:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
12.11.23	Jahn Regensburg - Ulm 1846	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Preußen Münster - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLL
- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
03.12.23	Borussia Dortmund II - 1860 München	3:0 ✺
25.11.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Ingolstadt - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Sandhausen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTTL

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