Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 1 - NORRA - ROUND 26

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Umeå		Motala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.1
	2.05	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.14	3.73	2.97
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	2.04	3.56	3.02
	2	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.87)	3.53 ↓ (3.8)	3.17 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Umeå
45.5%

Draw
25.7%

Motala
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

24%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Motala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umeå, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motala than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Umeå - Motala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson P. (G) 5. Aksoy Y. 3. Andersson R. 2. Bergstrom H. 10. Cissoko K. 11. Hofvander W. 4. Lindmark S. (C) 25. Sandstrom A. 6. Seger A. 18. Tatolna S. 15. Westin T.	22. Machini B. (G) 11. Ali K. 27. Burubwa D. 4. Civgin E. 3. Eek L. 24. Hamza T. 5. Hellgren I. 25. Karlsson S. 44. Odberg A. 12. Qvist A. 8. Silka L. (C)
Substitutes
14. Ekenberg W. 26. Ekman D. 29. Hogg C. (G) 23. Johansson I. 9. Lundback J. 7. Spanedal I. 13. Stankovic F.	14. Hana G. 16. Khaled Y. 30. Nylander N. (G) 21. Saedi A. 10. Silka V. 17. Zahirovic A.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).

Umeå has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Motala is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Motala could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Umeå will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Umeå won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Umeå won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
05.10.23	Piteå - Umeå	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Umeå - Hammarby TFF	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Umeå - Vasalund	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Karlstad - Umeå	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Umeå - Stocksund	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Motala AIF FK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
07.10.23	Motala - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Motala - Sylvia	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Hammarby TFF - Motala	0:2 ✺
17.09.23	Boden - Motala	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Motala - Vasalund	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
25.06.23	Motala - Umeå	2:2
21.08.22	Umeå - Motala	1:1
21.05.22	Motala - Umeå	4:1
11.07.15	Motala - Umeå	3:2
26.04.15	Umeå - Motala	2:1

Upcoming Matches