Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 1 - NORRA - ROUND 22

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday


	Boden		Motala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.75	3.1	Watch
	2.18	3.13	3.4
	1.98	3.62	3.28
	2.02	3.55	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.38)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	3.22 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boden
45.1%

Draw
26.3%

Motala
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boden's performance.

Motala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Motala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boden than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motala than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boden - Motala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bandh S. (C) 16. Bawa S. 7. Chatee J. 11. Faustini R. 2. Gustavsson F. 17. Hallstensson A. 10. Johnson S. 6. Myske H. 88. Nordell W. 35. Sahlin L. 8. Swedi E.	22. Machini B. (G) 11. Ali K. 4. Civgin E. 24. Hamza T. 5. Hellgren I. 25. Karlsson S. 44. Odberg A. 21. Saedi A. 8. Silka L. (C) 10. Silka V. 17. Zahirovic A.
Substitutes
23. Amine Hejai S. 14. Candela V. 77. Cief V. A. A. 44. Granholm R. (G) 9. Samuelsson A. 3. Silla A. 21. Vikstrom J.	99. Bagir M. 27. Burubwa D. 16. Khaled Y. 15. Kosovic A.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Boden has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Motala is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boden could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Boden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodens BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
10.09.23	Hammarby TFF - Boden	4:0 ✺
03.09.23	Boden - Vasalund	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Boden - Stockholm Internazionale	0:3 ✺
18.08.23	Piteå - Boden	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	Umeå - Boden	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTL
- Motala AIF FK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
09.09.23	Motala - Vasalund	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Stockholm Internazionale - Motala	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Motala - Täby	1:3 ✺
19.08.23	Stocksund - Motala	2:2 ✺
13.08.23	Motala - Piteå	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.05.23	Motala - Boden	3:0

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