The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Umeå 52.9%
Draw 22.8%
Stocksund 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.7%
19.5%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.8%
18.6%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Umeå's form might have worsened.
Stocksund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stocksund's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umeå, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksund than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stocksund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Umeå - Stocksund Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Pihlblad L. (G) 4. Bangala D. 16. Bawa Z. 26. Ekman D. 8. Godwin F. 9. Hadad R. 20. Hassan H. 2. Linden N. 11. Olawore E. 27. Rhodin F. 12. Yeboah E. (C)
1. Rhawi J. (G) 5. Boto D. 10. Engstrom K. 2. Floric A. 8. Johansson A. 6. Lager S. 4. Mihajlovic L. 7. Rauf Y. 3. Tesfai E. 9. Wagberg N. (C) 11. Wennerlind L.
Substitutes
3. Andersson R. 14. Cederblad E. 17. Forsman S. 5. Hakansson N. 24. Johansson V. 30. Remahl L. (G)
12. Badome S. 17. Hussein D. 20. Jonsson C. 19. Maache N. 16. Mumuni A. L. 15. Persson E. 14. Royo C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Engstrom K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', Godwin F. 🟨,
60', Tesfai E. ↓, Royo C. ↑,
70', Rhodin F. ↓, Forsman S. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Wennerlind L. ⚽,
88', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Olawore E. ⚽, Johansson V. (A),
90+7', 2 - 2, Ekman D. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In recent matches, Umeå has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Stocksund's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Stocksund may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Stocksund has had a series of home games.
In this match, Umeå is the team to beat.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 2.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Umeå won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 3.5:3.5).
Sweden
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Pihlblad L. (G) 
Bawa Z. 
Yeboah E. (C) 
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