Match Info

Date: 22 August 2020, Saturday


	Umeå		Norrby

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	3.1	Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.8
	2.48	2.9	3.05	Watch
	2.45	3	2.85
	2.61	3.03	2.99
	2.5	3	3	Watch
	2.61	2.99	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.51)	3 ↓ (3.18)	2.97 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
37.4%

Draw
31.1%

Norrby
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.4%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

21.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Norrby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umeå, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrby than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norrby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	71.4%	10.7%

Umeå - Norrby Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Umeå will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Norrby will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 10).

Recent matches Umeå is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Norrby is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Umeå could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
16.08.20	Västerås SK - Umeå	2:0 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
15.08.20	Sandvik - Umeå	1:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
13.08.20	Umeå - Örgryte	2:2 ✺
08.08.20	Jönköpings Södra - Umeå	1:0 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
08.08.20	Umeå - Piteå	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTLT
- Norrby IF
Swedish Superettan
16.08.20	Norrby - Trelleborg	1:3 ✺
12.08.20	Brage - Norrby	1:1 ✺
08.08.20	Dalkurd - Norrby	2:2 ✺
02.08.20	Norrby - Jönköpings Södra	1:2 ✺
29.07.20	Norrby - AFC Eskilstuna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTLT

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