Match Info

Date: 26 October 2020, Monday


	Umeå		GAIS

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.8	3.15	2.48	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.48
	2.85	3.3	2.64
	2.8	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.86	3.22	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.7)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	2.5 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
33.2%

Draw
29.5%

GAIS
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.2%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

20.6%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The chances for GAIS have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Umeå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GAIS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	25.9%	51.9%

Umeå - GAIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Umeå will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). GAIS will win (votes: 14 - 51.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GAIS: 33.1% – 70.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Umeå is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches GAIS is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

GAIS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Umeå won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
21.10.20	Öster - Umeå	2:0 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
17.10.20	Täfteå - Umeå	1:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.10.20	Umeå - Trelleborg	0:1 ✺
10.10.20	Umeå - Jönköpings Södra	1:2 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
10.10.20	Umeå - Stöde	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLW
- GAIS
Swedish Superettan
22.10.20	Jönköpings Södra - GAIS	1:0 ✺
16.10.20	GAIS - Norrby	3:3 ✺
10.10.20	GAIS - Halmstad	1:3 ✺
04.10.20	Ljungskile - GAIS	1:2 ✺
28.09.20	Örgryte - GAIS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
18.07.20	GAIS - Umeå	1:1

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