Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Norra - Round 29

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Umeå		United Nordic

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.2
	2.78	3.76	2.27
	2.82	3.74	2.26	Watch
	2.79	3.62	2.24	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.38)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)	2.23 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
33.2%

Draw
25.3%

United Nordic
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

24.6%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

United Nordic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umeå, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United Nordic than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for United Nordic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Umeå - United Nordic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson P. (G) 10. Cissoko K. 26. Ekman D. 20. Hassan H. 16. Hedstrom J. 11. Hofvander W. 17. Naslund A. 19. Olsson T. 28. Vikgren L. 15. Westin T. (C) 8. Yeboah E.	30. Garaca D. (C) 87. Chidi A. 44. Diarra A. 7. Eminovic A. 9. Fellrath Y. 77. Gursac J. 20. Harabi A. 14. Masangane K. 4. Rogic F. 25. Sugita Y. 21. Swedi E.
Substitutes
2. Bergstrom H. 13. Hellgren A. (G) 23. Johansson I. 5. Kihlgren O. 9. Larsson A. 22. Lindgren T. 7. Sandstrom A.	2. Alvers O. 17. Ceylan C. 23. Hellberg S. 8. Laturnus B. 24. Sise M. 1. Stahl P. (G) 19. Yarar P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Diarra A. ↓, Alvers O. ↑,
26', Masangane K. 🟨,
43', Cissoko K. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Sugita Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Yeboah E. ⚽, Hofvander W. (A),
64', Fellrath Y. ↓, Sise M. ↑,
67', Naslund A. ↓, Johansson I. ↑,
74', Vikgren L. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
77', Alvers O. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan and 3).

Umeå is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches United Nordic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

United Nordic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Umeå won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 2.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Umeå won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
26.10.24	Karlstad - Umeå	3:4 ✺
20.10.24	Umeå - Täby	0:0 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
19.10.24	Boden - Umeå	7:1 ✺
13.10.24	Umeå - Täfteå	3:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.10.24	FBK Karlstad - Umeå	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLWW
- United Nordic IK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
26.10.24	United Nordic - Karlberg	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Stockholm Internazionale - United Nordic	1:0 ✺
12.10.24	United Nordic - Hammarby TFF	1:3 ✺
05.10.24	Karlstad - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	United Nordic - Piteå	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
09.06.24	United Nordic - Umeå	0:1
27.08.23	Umeå - United Nordic	3:2
16.04.23	United Nordic - Umeå	2:3

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