Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 12

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday

Location: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena (Södertälje)


	United Nordic		Karlberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.75	3.55
	1.72	3.94	4.05
	1.86	3.94	3.67	Watch
	1.75	3.5	3.8
	1.83	3.84	3.64	Watch
	1.82	3.75	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.7)	3.79 ↓ (3.9)	3.71 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United Nordic
51%

Draw
24.2%

Karlberg
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23.6%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

23.7%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United Nordic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Karlberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United Nordic than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

United Nordic - Karlberg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. United Nordic (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: United Nordic will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melkemichel A. (G) 6. Aphrem G. 7. Eminovic A. 77. Gursac J. 10. Mehmeti L. 14. Miljanovic D. 44. Nnamani S. 4. Rogic F. (C) 25. Sugita Y. 21. Swedi E. 42. Tagesson J.	31. Gkoulios A. (G) 10. Bergendahl Karki A. 9. Dudziak K. 25. Geiger N. 21. Khan A. 11. Muyenga A. 8. Negash N. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. 12. Sequar A. 26. Ward K. 4. Westerberg J.
Substitutes
16. Daneyl N. 18. Issa N. 39. Nesvik-Andersson L. 9. Neziri A. 30. Stahl P. (G) 24. Ulloa Niinivirta L. 19. Yarar P.	35. Bojang E. (G) 16. Granath R. 3. Hellgren I. 13. Koc K. 20. Nilsson O. 24. Sietsema L. 28. Tenggren H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Rupia-Ellis A. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Dudziak K. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Nnamani S. ⚽,
34', 2 - 2, Swedi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 3 - 2, Miljanovic D. ⚽,
62', Gursac J. 🟨,
64', Geiger N. ↓, Nilsson O. ↑,
64', Sequar A. ↓, Koc K. ↑,
70', Muyenga A. ↓, Granath R. ↑,
72', Sugita Y. ↓, Yarar P. ↑,
72', Mehmeti L. ↓, Ulloa Niinivirta L. ↑,
88', Rupia-Ellis A. ↓, Tenggren H. ↑,
88', Khan A. ↓, Sietsema L. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Tenggren H. ⚽, Negash N. (A),
90+2', Nnamani S. ↓, Neziri A. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 3, Swedi E. ⚽,
90+6', Yarar P. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Karlberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, United Nordic is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, United Nordic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, United Nordic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- United Nordic IK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
04.06.25	Stocksund - United Nordic	1:0 ✺
29.05.25	United Nordic - Örebro Syrianska	3:1 ✺
25.05.25	Assyriska Föreningen - United Nordic	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	United Nordic - Stockholm Internazionale	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Vasalund - United Nordic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL
- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
01.06.25	Karlberg - Team TG	1:1 ✺
29.05.25	AFC Eskilstuna - Karlberg	0:2 ✺
23.05.25	Karlberg - Hammarby TFF	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Karlberg - Gefle	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Haninge - Karlberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
26.10.24	United Nordic - Karlberg	2:0
20.06.24	Karlberg - United Nordic	2:1

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