Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Örsholmens IP (Karlstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	FBK Karlstad		Umeå

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.23	3.49	3.01
	6.79	3.90	1.49	Watch
	2.16	3.34	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.92)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)	2.59 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBK Karlstad
31%

Draw
29.1%

Umeå
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

25.4%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

24.1%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBK Karlstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

FBK Karlstad - Umeå Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. FBK Karlstad will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Umeå will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - FBK Karlstad (1.67) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. FBK Karlstad (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Johansson V. (G) 15. Ahlstedt D. 10. Bertilsson A. 8. Bjork N. 18. Forsberg E. 4. Fredriksson L. 26. Hagelberg A. 12. Hana G. 25. Heden A. 6. Marigliano C. 2. Wagnsson S.	35. Pihlblad L. (G) 16. Bawa Z. 14. Cederblad E. 26. Ekman D. 33. Essombe Mambingo J. 8. Godwin F. 9. Hadad R. 5. Hakansson N. 2. Linden N. 6. Lindmark S. 11. Olawore E.
Substitutes
11. Faustini R. 13. Hoiby J. 9. Johansson Bahar F. 19. Noller J. (G) 17. Olsson W. 3. Parleholt A. 7. Qassem M.	4. Bangala D. 17. Forsman S. 20. Hassan H. 22. Lindgren T. 30. Remahl L. (G) 27. Rhodin F. 12. Yeboah E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Heden A. ↓, Hoiby J. ↑,
28', (Penalty Awarded),
37', (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Marigliano C. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ahlstedt D. ↓, Faustini R. ↑,
53', 🟨,
76', Bjork N. ↓, Olsson W. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Hagelberg A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation: ) and 8).

FBK Karlstad is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Umeå has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Umeå may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, FBK Karlstad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, FBK Karlstad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	41:35	6	43
9	Umea FC	25	9	5	11	34:41	-7	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.05.26	Piteå - FBK Karlstad	1:5 ✺
09.05.26	FBK Karlstad - Järfälla	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	AFC Eskilstuna - FBK Karlstad	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	FBK Karlstad - Stocksund	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Enköping - FBK Karlstad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL
- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.05.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Umeå	1:5 ✺
09.05.26	Umeå - Gefle	2:2 ✺
03.05.26	Umeå - Karlberg	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Umeå	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Vasalund - Umeå	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.10.24	FBK Karlstad - Umeå	1:3
04.05.24	Umeå - FBK Karlstad	2:1

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