Match Info

QSL Cup - Round 4

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Qatar	Al Kass Two, Shoof


	Umm-Salal		Muaither

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.81	3.23	Watch
	1.94	3.6	3.28
	1.47	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.45)	3.87 ↓ (4.3)	4.04 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umm-Salal
52.4%

Draw
24.3%

Muaither
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.1%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

20.4%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Umm-Salal's form might have worsened.

Muaither has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Muaither's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umm-Salal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muaither than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Muaither, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Umm Salal - Muaither Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Umm-Salal will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Muaither will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Muaither (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Muaither (6.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Muaither (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', (Pen),
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 2 - 2, ⚽,
71', (Pen),
87', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Umm-Salal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Muaither has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Muaither may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Umm-Salal is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Umm-Salal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umm-Salal SC
Qatar QSL
26.10.25	Qatar SC - Umm-Salal	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
19.10.25	Al-Sadd - Umm-Salal	0:5 ✺
04.10.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya	3:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
26.09.25	Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal	3:2 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
24.09.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Khor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWWLT
- Muaither SC
Qatar QSL 2
22.10.25	Muaither - Al-Markhiya	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
17.10.25	Al Bidda - Muaither	2:2 ✺
02.10.25	Al-Shahania - Muaither	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Muaither - Al-Gharafa	5:2 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
17.09.25	Lusail City - Muaither	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
29.03.24	Umm-Salal - Muaither	1:2
Qatar QSL Cup
11.11.23	Muaither - Umm-Salal	3:4
Qatar QSL
02.11.23	Muaither - Umm-Salal	1:3

Umm-Salal - Muaither: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide