Match Info

QSL - Round 6

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Al Janoub Stadium (Al Wakrah)

Referee: Shrief M. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA
Qatar	Al Kass One, Shoof


	Al-Wakrah		Umm-Salal

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.35	4.35
	1.62	4.49	4.63
	1.62	4.29	4.41	Watch
	1.66	4.38	4.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.66)	4.38 ↑ (4.09)	4.4 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Wakrah
57.5%

Draw
21.3%

Umm-Salal
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

22.7%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

25.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Wakrah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

The chances for Umm-Salal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wakrah than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Wakrah - Umm Salal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Wakrah will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Al Khater S. (G) 16. Erfan N. 28. Lucas Verissimo 2. Lucas Mendes (C) 47. Waad F. 18. Madibo A. O. 8. Fathy H. 7. Assal A. 93. Laidouni A. 75. Zouhzouh A. 11. Redouane B.	30. Hadeb J. (G) 2. Fayez A. 15. Tahif A. 26. Dayo I. 22. Udosen E. 20. Afif A. 14. Tannane O. (C) 7. Mansour K. 6. Aholou J. 33. Cristo 11. Al Shammari M.
Substitutes
13. Abdurisag Y. 99. Abudlla O. (G) 4. Aiash M. 27. Alaaeldin M. 1. Al Bakri M. (G) 15. Ali A. 9. de Tomas R. 5. Fadel A. 10. Gelson Dala 33. Hassan M. 6. Salah O. 40. Valentin G.	8. Al Ahrak N. 12. Al Bahnasawi W. 13. Ashour L. (G) 32. El Sayed A. 27. Haroon D. 3. Hasia A. 4. Issa S. 17. Kouassi J. E. 19. Laidouni N. 21. Saad K. 5. Said F. 16. Suhail R.
Coaches
Moreno V.	Carteron P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Aholou J. 🟨,
36', Mansour K. 🟨,
40', Lucas Verissimo ↓, Ali A. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Afif A. ↓, Suhail R. ↑,
46', Assal A. ↓, Valentin G. ↑,
48', Al Shammari M. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Fathy H. ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, Cristo ⚽, Tannane O. (A),
67', Al Shammari M. ↓, Al Bahnasawi W. ↑,
70', Madibo A. O. 🟨,
74', Waad F. ↓, Abdurisag Y. ↑,
74', Fathy H. ↓, Gelson Dala ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Gelson Dala ⚽, Valentin G. (A),
84', Redouane B. ↓, de Tomas R. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Gelson Dala (Own goal),
90+1', Al Bahnasawi W. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 2, Gelson Dala ⚽, Erfan N. (A),
90+8', Al Khater S. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Wakrah won 4.

Al-Wakrah is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Umm-Salal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Al-Wakrah has had a series of away games.

In this match, Al-Wakrah is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Wakrah won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Wakrah won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Wakrah SC
Qatar QSL Cup
23.09.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Wakrah	4:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
20.09.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Wakrah	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Wakrah	5:3 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
02.09.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Arabi Doha	1:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
29.08.25	Al-Shahania - Al-Wakrah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTLLW
- Umm-Salal SC
Qatar QSL Cup
24.09.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Khor	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
21.09.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Al Duhail - Umm-Salal	4:2 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
03.09.25	Al-Shamal - Umm-Salal	1:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
29.08.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Umm-Salal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar Emir Cup
07.05.25	Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal	1:4
Qatar QSL
04.04.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Wakrah	0:1
01.11.24	Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal	3:0
Qatar QSL Cup
12.10.24	Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal	2:0
Qatar QSL
16.03.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Wakrah	0:2
29.10.23	Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal	2:1
Qatar QSL Cup
09.09.23	Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal	0:5

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