Match Info

1. Lig - Round 10

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Erdemir B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Umraniyespor		Boluspor

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.00	7.00	Watch
	1.39	4.20	6.50
	1.38	4.20	6.40	Watch
	1.39	4.75	7.90
	1.45	4.36	6.6	Watch
	1.37	4.70	7.80
	1.40	4.42	7.74	Watch
	1.39	4.30	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.48)	4.37 ↑ (4.05)	7.09 ↑ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umraniyespor
66%

Draw
21%

Boluspor
12.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.6%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

17.4%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Umraniyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boluspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Umraniyespor - Boluspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 2 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Umraniyespor (1.44) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Umraniyespor will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Topaloglu C. (G) 70. Yildirim O. 58. Kartal M. 44. Glumac T. (C) 88. Gedik E. 8. Goksu S. 10. Djokanovic A. 17. Yilmaz B. 11. Blanco A. 27. Soukou C. 7. Hostikka S.	1. Tafas A. (C) 64. Ozdemir A. 50. Gocmen B. 3. Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 54. Ozdemir C. 8. Artuc T. 77. Korkmaz N. 23. Dursun Z. 21. Mert M. 11. Kacmaz F. E. 9. Rivas R.
Substitutes
28. Aydogan O. 20. Babacan A. 9. Bostan M. 55. Koita F. 13. Koklu O. A. (G) 12. Kosoko T. 53. Oksuz B. 16. Sen K. 77. Tasci T. 66. Yasar A.	19. Diaz H. 14. Kirim A. 2. Metin F. 25. Ozkan M. (G) 35. Ozkayimoglu E. 67. Ozyurek B. 22. Saygi A. 27. Ugurlu A. 6. Yilmaz C. 32. Yunuszada E.
Coaches
Albayrak T.	Yatabare M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Dursun Z. ⚽, Kacmaz F. E. (A),
43', Ozdemir C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kacmaz F. E. 🟥,
46', Blanco A. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
46', Yilmaz B. ↓, Tasci T. ↑,
53', Gedik E. 🟨,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 20th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Umraniyespor (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Boluspor has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this match, Umraniyespor enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Confirmed absences for Boluspor: Ozdemir O. (Suspended) Polat E. C. (Foot Injury).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Umraniyespor has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:22 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Umraniyespor against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 10:9 goals (averaging 1.3:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Umraniyespor	9	1	4	4	7:10	-3	7
20	Boluspor	9	0	1	8	3:21	-18	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
09.10.26	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Umraniyespor - Antalyaspor	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Pendikspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	Umraniyespor - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLLL
- Boluspor
Turkish First League
10.10.26	Boluspor - Antalyaspor	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Sarıyer - Boluspor	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Boluspor - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bandırmaspor - Boluspor	6:0 ✺
01.09.26	Boluspor - Keçiörengücü	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
17.02.26	Umraniyespor - Boluspor	4:2
23.09.25	Boluspor - Umraniyespor	0:1
15.03.25	Umraniyespor - Boluspor	1:0
01.11.24	Boluspor - Umraniyespor	3:0
13.04.24	Boluspor - Umraniyespor	1:0
25.11.23	Umraniyespor - Boluspor	1:2
24.04.22	Boluspor - Umraniyespor	0:2

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