Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Umraniyespor		Sarıyer

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.63
	2.45	3.10	2.55
	2.43	3.19	2.72	Watch
	2.69	3.3	2.65
	2.53	3.25	2.68	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.55
	2.42	3.13	2.6
	2.43	3.15	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.47)	3.18 ↓ (3.23)	2.64 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umraniyespor
36.7%

Draw
28.7%

Sarıyer
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

30.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Umraniyespor - Sarıyer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th and 5th in the Promotion - 1. Lig Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Recent results have been tough for Umraniyespor (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sarıyer is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Umraniyespor has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Umraniyespor against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sariyer	8	4	2	2	11:9	2	14
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	6:9	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Umraniyespor - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
18.09.26	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Umraniyespor - Antalyaspor	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Pendikspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	Umraniyespor - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLLT
- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
19.09.26	Sarıyer - Boluspor	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Keçiörengücü - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
01.09.26	Sarıyer - Pendikspor	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Antalyaspor - Sarıyer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
06.03.26	Sarıyer - Umraniyespor	1:2
17.10.25	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:3
Turkish Second League White Group
11.03.16	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:0
30.10.15	Sarıyer - Umraniyespor	0:2

Umraniyespor - Sarıyer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide