Match Info

1. Lig - Round 17

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Ataturk City Stadium (Van)

Referee: Olcar B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Vanspor		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.51	4.16	5.25
	1.55	4.09	5.71
	1.49	4.41	5.84	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.75
	1.55	3.92	5.93	Watch
	1.48	4.2	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	4.07 ↑ (4.05)	5.7 ↑ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanspor
61%

Draw
22.8%

Umraniyespor
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

21.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vanspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Vanspor - Umraniyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vanspor will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Umraniyespor (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Akbaba C. (G) 65. Bingol M. 6. Jevsenak Z. 53. Cavusoglu M. 13. Oulare N. 10. Jefferson 41. Ozcan M. 8. Traore A. 18. Bilal H. 45. Bars E. 19. Bikoue	35. Topaloglu C. (G) 12. Kosoko T. 53. Oksuz B. 44. Glumac T. 8. Goksu S. 20. Babacan A. 88. Djokanovic A. 10. Bardhi J. 92. Ozdemir T. 9. Celik B. 11. Ekincier B.
Substitutes
47. Basaran A. E. 1. Damlu A. (G) 16. Gebecelioglu B. (G) 69. Karabakan D. 17. Manis M. 44. Secgin E. 98. Tumen S. 77. Usta G. 7. Vlachomitros A. 82. Yildrim A.	1. Adiyaman U. (G) 5. Aktas K. 81. Bulbul A. T. 93. Kanpalta O. 18. Karasu M. 14. Kocaturk Y. 30. Sas Y. D. 38. Ugur O. 70. Yildirim O. 59. Yilmaz Y.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.	Albayrak T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Bars E. ↓, Vlachomitros A. ↑,
59', Babacan A. ↓, Bulbul A. T. ↑,
62', Bilal H. ↓, Manis M. ↑,
64', Ozdemir T. ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
74', Kosoko T. ↓, Yildirim O. ↑,
74', Bardhi J. ↓, Aktas K. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Djokanovic A. ⚽,
82', Bingol M. ↓, Usta G. ↑,
83', Jefferson ↓, Secgin E. ↑,
90+3', Topaloglu C. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Vanspor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Umraniyespor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Umraniyespor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vanspor is the team to beat.

There will not play in Vanspor: Destici S. (Knee Injury) Genc F. C. (Suspended) Kesici T. (Inactive) Lucas Africo (Red Card) Manis M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Umraniyespor: Kaplan E. (Suspended) Saitoglu Y. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Vanspor: Dikmen E. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
07.12.25	Manisa FK - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Trabzonspor - Vanspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish First League
29.11.25	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Vanspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Sarıyer - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
06.12.25	Umraniyespor - Amed SK	3:4 ✺
29.11.25	Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Umraniyespor - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Pendikspor - Umraniyespor	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Umraniyespor - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 LTWLW

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