Match Info

1. Lig - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Spor Toto Akhisar Stadium (Akhisar) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Doman T. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Digiturk, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Vanspor		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.30	3.10	Watch
	2.15	3.10	2.90
	2.28	3.15	2.75	Watch
	2.18	3.40	3.40
	2.19	3.45	3.09	Watch
	2.15	3.30	3.35
	2.17	3.40	3.19
	2.16	3.30	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.35)	3.3 ↓ (3.38)	3.1 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanspor
42.4%

Draw
27.9%

Umraniyespor
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.2%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Vanspor - Umraniyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uysal A. (G) 77. Hanalp C. 5. Osmanoglu S. (C) 13. Oulare N. 61. Genc F. C. 11. Manis M. 41. Ozcan M. 58. Yigiter O. 27. Bardhi J. 17. Sever I. 15. Yenne T.	35. Topaloglu C. (G) 70. Yildirim O. 58. Kartal M. 44. Glumac T. (C) 88. Gedik E. 77. Tasci T. 8. Goksu S. 10. Djokanovic A. 27. Soukou C. 9. Bostan M. 55. Koita F.
Substitutes
7. Alhaft I. 9. Alvaro de Oliveira 65. Bingol M. 19. Ciftci H. 22. Damlu A. (G) 35. Isciler B. 8. Khan M. 10. Kokcu O. 25. Ozhan F. 2. Seven K.	20. Babacan A. 11. Blanco A. 26. Cakir B. 7. Hostikka S. 13. Koklu O. A. (G) 12. Kosoko T. 53. Oksuz B. 16. Sen K. 66. Yasar A. 17. Yilmaz B.
Coaches
Gursel M.	Albayrak T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Bardhi J. ↓, Kokcu O. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Tasci T. ↓, Blanco A. ↑,
57', Bostan M. ↓, Yilmaz B. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Blanco A. ⚽, Yilmaz B. (A),
61', Koita F. ↓, Hostikka S. ↑,
63', Yigiter O. ↓, Khan M. ↑,
64', Sever I. ↓, Alvaro de Oliveira ↑,
71', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
75', Ozcan M. ↓, Ciftci H. ↑,
75', Manis M. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Hostikka S. ⚽, Yilmaz B. (A),
84', Soukou C. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
84', Goksu S. ↓, Sen K. ↑,
90', Sen K. 🟨,
90+2', Alvaro de Oliveira 🟨,
90+2', Yildirim O. 🟥,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Spor Toto Akhisar Stadium.

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 17th in the Relegation).

In recent outings, Vanspor has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Umraniyespor has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Vanspor may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Vanspor holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Vanspor has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vanspor against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Umraniyespor	11	3	4	4	13:10	3	13
18	Vanspor FK	12	3	3	6	13:22	-9	10

Last Results with these Odds

Vanspor - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.84%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Umraniyespor - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.12%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
13.10.26	Pendikspor - Vanspor	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Vanspor - Bandırmaspor	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Antalyaspor - Vanspor	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Vanspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Muğlaspor - Vanspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLLTT
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
14.10.26	Umraniyespor - Boluspor	Abandoned ✺
09.10.26	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Umraniyespor - Antalyaspor	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Pendikspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 ?TWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
19.04.26	Umraniyespor - Vanspor	1:2
14.12.25	Vanspor - Umraniyespor	0:1

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