The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Umraniyespor 20.4%
Draw 21.1%
Keçiörengücü 58.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
26%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
25.4%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Umraniyespor's form might have worsened.
Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keçiörengücü's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umraniyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-15%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Keçiörengücü will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%). Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Yildirim O. (G) 70. Yildirim O. (C) 36. Cengiz S. 14. Kocaturk Y. 75. Kaplan E. 30. Sas Y. D. 20. Babacan A. 10. Bardhi J. 77. Benny 27. Soukou C. 12. Kosoko T.
18. Satilmis E. (G) 10. Bulut H. 15. Wellington Nascimento 4. Celik A. 11. Dere A. 36. Karaogul I. 14. Akdag I. (C) 7. Roshi O. 22. Ayan H. 21. Ezeh F. 78. Fernandes J.
Substitutes
1. Adiyaman U. (G) 81. Bulbul A. T. 11. Ekincier B. 60. Ertugrul D. 8. Goksu S. 92. Ozdemir T. 97. Saitoglu Y. 38. Ugur O. 37. Yavuz A. 59. Yilmaz Y.
9. Akman A. 17. Bilgic H. 5. Caliskan O. 6. Develi E. 70. Diaby O. 1. Erdogan M. (G) 73. Lus S. 23. Mexer 8. Rroca E. 28. Yilmaz E.
Coaches
Albayrak T.
Kosukavak Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 4)
7', 1 - 0, Kocaturk Y. ⚽, Soukou C. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Fernandes J. ⚽, Roshi O. (A),
23', 1 - 2, Fernandes J. ⚽, Ezeh F. (A),
29', Akdag I. ↓, Develi E. ↑,
32', 1 - 3, Fernandes J. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 4, Ezeh F. ⚽, Develi E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yildirim O. ↓, Bulbul A. T. ↑,
46', Sas Y. D. ↓, Ugur O. ↑,
70', Roshi O. ↓, Yilmaz E. ↑,
70', Ayan H. ↓, Rroca E. ↑,
71', Soukou C. ↓, Ertugrul D. ↑,
81', Cengiz S. ↓, Yavuz A. ↑,
81', Kosoko T. ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
83', Ezeh F. ↓, Diaby O. ↑,
83', Bulut H. ↓, Bilgic H. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 2.
Umraniyespor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Keçiörengücü is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Keçiörengücü is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Umraniyespor: Hoti E.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Keskin B.
(Suspended)
There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Celik B.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Umraniyespor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Keciorengucu
8
3
4
1
17:10
7
13
16
Umraniyespor
8
1
3
4
6:9
-3
6
Last Results with these Odds
Keçiörengücü - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.52%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Asia
Turkey
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Yildirim O. (G) 
Bardhi J. 
Benny 
Soukou C. 
Kosoko T. 
Wellington Nascimento 
Celik A. 
Karaogul I. 
Fernandes J. 
Diaby O. 
Mexer 
