Match Info

1. Lig - Round 36

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Yorgancilar R. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii


	Umraniyespor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.04	3.47	3.18	Watch
	2.18	3.64	3.31
	1.96	3.65	3.52	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.1
	2.12	3.51	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.37)	3.51 ↑ (3.38)	3.24 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umraniyespor
44.8%

Draw
26.5%

Vanspor
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

27.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.4%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Umraniyespor's performance.

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Umraniyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Umraniyespor - Vanspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Yildirim O. (G) 81. Bulbul A. T. 4. Eser M. (C) 14. Kocaturk Y. 75. Kaplan E. 30. Sas Y. D. 17. Hoti E. 10. Bardhi J. 77. Benny 9. Celik B. 12. Kosoko T.	1. Uysal A. (G) 65. Bingol M. (C) 53. Cavusoglu M. 4. Dikmen E. 35. Isciler B. 8. Traore A. 10. Jefferson 45. Bars E. 76. Kara B. C. 7. Hostikka S. 17. Caglayan O.
Substitutes
5. Aktas K. 36. Cengiz S. 11. Ekincier B. 44. Glumac T. 53. Oksuz B. 92. Ozdemir T. 27. Soukou C. 35. Topaloglu C. (G) 38. Ugur O. 59. Yilmaz Y.	90. Coksu M. 21. Demirol A. 16. Gebecelioglu B. (G) 61. Genc F. C. 6. Jevsenak Z. 73. Olmez S. (G) 41. Ozcan M. 77. Usta G. 11. Xesc 82. Yildrim A.
Coaches
Albayrak T.	Korkmaz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Bars E. ↓, Xesc ↑,
46', Traore A. ↓, Ozcan M. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Ozcan M. ⚽,
64', Kosoko T. ↓, Soukou C. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Hoti E. ⚽, Sas Y. D. (A),
73', Bardhi J. 🟨,
77', Bardhi J. ↓, Aktas K. ↑,
77', Benny ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
80', Kara B. C. ↓, Yildrim A. ↑,
80', Xesc ↓, Coksu M. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Hostikka S. ⚽,
87', Celik B. ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
87', Eser M. ↓, Ugur O. ↑,
90+2', Hostikka S. ↓, Jevsenak Z. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 12).

Umraniyespor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vanspor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Umraniyespor: Yildirim O. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Umraniyespor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Umraniyespor	8	1	3	4	6:9	-3	6
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	8:17	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
13.04.26	Amed SK - Umraniyespor	2:2 ✺
08.04.26	Umraniyespor - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Bodrumspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Umraniyespor - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sivasspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLTL
- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
12.04.26	Vanspor - Manisa FK	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor	1:6 ✺
04.04.26	Keçiörengücü - Vanspor	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Vanspor - Sarıyer	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sakaryaspor - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
14.12.25	Vanspor - Umraniyespor	0:1

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