Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 12

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	União Barbarense		Taquaritinga

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	2.5
	3.04	2.78	2.4
	3.04	2.78	2.4
	3.04	2.92	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.42)	2.85 ↓ (2.99)	2.41 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Barbarense
30.8%

Draw
31.7%

Taquaritinga
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30.4%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União Barbarense's form might have worsened.

Taquaritinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Barbarense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taquaritinga than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

União Barbarense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Taquaritinga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
09.03.24	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - União Barbarense	7:0 ✺
06.03.24	União Barbarense - Rio Branco de Americana	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - União Barbarense	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	União Barbarense - Penapolense	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Nacional SP - União Barbarense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTWW
- CA Taquaritinga
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
09.03.24	Taquaritinga - Rio Branco de Americana	1:2 ✺
06.03.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Taquaritinga	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Taquaritinga - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	Nacional SP - Taquaritinga	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Independente de Limeira - Taquaritinga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTTW

União Barbarense - Taquaritinga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide