Match Info
Paulista B - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 11 July 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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União Mogi |
|
Itaquá |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
5.25 |
3.50 |
1.55 |
|
 |
5.00 |
3.65 |
1.56 |
|
 |
5.4 |
3.78 |
1.55 |
 Watch |
 |
4.95 |
3.60 |
1.54 |
|
 |
5.40 |
3.81 |
1.58 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.2 ↑
(3.64) |
3.67 ↑
(3.6) |
1.56 ↓
(1.86) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
União Mogi
17.4% | Draw
24.6% | Itaquá
58% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União Mogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União Mogi's form might have worsened.Itaquá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Itaquá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Mogi than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Mogi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itaquá than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Itaquá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.União Mogi - Itaquá Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 22', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 35', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', 🟥,
- 73', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 74', 1 - 4, ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟥,
Preview
First leg.Currently, both teams are in excellent shape. Itaquá will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, União Mogi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).Including home match between the teams, União Mogi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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