Match Info
Paulista B - Play Offs - 1/8-finalsDate: 27 June 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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União Mogi |
|
Mauá |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.40 |
2.90 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.38 |
3.00 |
2.79 |
|
 |
2.39 |
3.12 |
2.82 |
 Watch |
 |
2.35 |
2.95 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.31 |
3.24 |
2.69 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.5) |
3.04 ↓
(3.3) |
2.76 ↑
(2.4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
União Mogi
38% | Draw
29.5% | Mauá
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União Mogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Mauá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Mogi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mauá than the current prediction. (+2.6%)União Mogi - Mauá Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Azul ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Macildinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 61', 1 - 2, Thiago Ramos ⚽,
- 84', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.União Mogi has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Mauá has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, União Mogi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, União Mogi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Paulista B | | | 06.06.26 | Mauá - União Mogi | 0:0 | | 03.05.26 | União Mogi - Mauá | 2:3 | | 14.06.25 | União Mogi - Mauá | 2:3 | | 18.05.24 | União Mogi - Mauá | 0:1 |
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