Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 6

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday


	União Suzano		Atlético Monte Azul

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.3	1.82
	4.1	3.25	1.84
	3.83	3.31	1.84
	4.11	3.35	1.83	Watch
	4	3.1	1.85
	3.94	3.28	1.85
	4.1	3.25	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.01)	3.26 ↑ (3.15)	1.84 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Suzano
22.9%

Draw
27.8%

Atlético Monte Azul
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

29%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.6%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Suzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União Suzano's form might have worsened.

Atlético Monte Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Monte Azul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Suzano than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Suzano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Monte Azul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

União Suzano - Atlético Monte Azul Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Monte Azul will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monte Azul: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Gui Sales (Pen),
45+4', 1 - 1, Baiano J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 1 - 2, Pedoca ⚽,
78', 1 - 3, Gui Sales ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches União Suzano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Monte Azul is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monte Azul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Suzano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.02.25	Catanduva - União Suzano	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	União Suzano - Sertãozinho	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Lemense FC - União Suzano	1:1 ✺
21.01.25	Comercial SP - União Suzano	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	União Suzano - União São João	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLTWT
- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
02.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Rio Preto	4:0 ✺
29.01.25	Francana - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Desportivo Brasil	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Rio Branco de Americana	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Itapirense - Atlético Monte Azul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTTW

União Suzano - Atlético Monte Azul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide