Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Itapirense		Atlético Monte Azul

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	2.9	3.05	2.32
	2.92	3.14	2.35	Watch
	3	2.88	2.4
	2.75	3.25	2.51
	2.9	3.05	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.38)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.33 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itapirense
31%

Draw
29.7%

Atlético Monte Azul
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

29.3%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

29.2%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itapirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Itapirense - Atlético Monte Azul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Itapirense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Monte Azul is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monte Azul will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Itapirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Including matches at home between the teams Itapirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.03.25	EC São Bernardo - Itapirense	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Itapirense - Catanduva	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	XV de Jaú - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Itapirense - Rio Branco de Americana	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Rio Preto - Itapirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLWT
- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Lemense FC	4:2 ✺
09.03.25	XV de Jaú - Atlético Monte Azul	2:2 ✺
05.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	União São João - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
26.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
18.01.25	Itapirense - Atlético Monte Azul	1:2

Itapirense - Atlético Monte Azul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide