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Current Win Probability
União Suzano U20 43.1%
Draw 27.8%
Itapirense U20 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
26.7%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
25.5%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União Suzano U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Itapirense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Suzano U20 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Suzano U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itapirense U20 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. União Suzano U20 (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
União Suzano U20 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Itapirense U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
União Suzano U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
The teams have not played against each other recently.